Atascadero Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Paso Robles. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 15 and the first fall freeze around November 10, a growing season of about 238 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 18, first October 27
- Median at 32°F
- last March 15, first November 10
- Median at 28°F
- last February 9, first November 26
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 6 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 24 |
| 32°F | Apr 13 | Apr 6 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 15 | Mar 8 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 12 |
| 28°F | Mar 4 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 14 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 28 | Jan 18 | Jan 2 |
| 24°F | Feb 12 | Feb 3 | Jan 29 | Jan 20 | Jan 11 | Jan 4 | Dec 31 | Dec 25 | Dec 13 |
| 20°F | Jan 26 | Jan 15 | Jan 10 | Jan 4 | Jan 1 | Dec 30 | Dec 25 | Dec 19 | Dec 11 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 12 |
| 32°F | Oct 23 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 29 |
| 28°F | Nov 4 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 | Dec 19 |
| 24°F | Nov 21 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 21 | Jan 1 | Jan 10 |
| 20°F | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 16 | Dec 20 | Dec 26 | Dec 31 | Jan 2 | Jan 11 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 218 | 208 | 202 | 196 | 190 | 186 | 180 | 173 | 165 |
| 32°F | 275 | 263 | 254 | 246 | 238 | 231 | 224 | 216 | 206 |
| 28°F | 326 | 315 | 303 | 295 | 287 | 280 | 274 | 266 | 256 |
| 24°F | 365 | 356 | 345 | 338 | 334 | 329 | 323 | 312 | 300 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 354 | 346 | 337 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 364 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 85% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 39% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 8% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,777
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 851
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,210
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,458
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,887
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,599
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,591
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 526 | 0 | 33 |
| February | 412 | 0 | 62 |
| March | 346 | 0 | 145 |
| April | 241 | 7 | 225 |
| May | 120 | 52 | 397 |
| June | 36 | 135 | 549 |
| July | 10 | 226 | 680 |
| August | 7 | 234 | 693 |
| September | 26 | 156 | 581 |
| October | 133 | 40 | 373 |
| November | 363 | 1 | 124 |
| December | 559 | 0 | 25 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 15.5 km from Atascadero. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00046730 (Paso Robles). Public domain.