Turrell Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for W Memphis. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 19 and the first fall freeze around November 10, a growing season of about 235 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 2, first October 31
- Median at 32°F
- last March 19, first November 10
- Median at 28°F
- last March 7, first November 22
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 20 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 14 |
| 32°F | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 |
| 28°F | Mar 31 | Mar 23 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 |
| 24°F | Mar 18 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 | Jan 31 |
| 20°F | Mar 9 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 | Feb 11 | Feb 3 | Jan 30 | Jan 23 | Jan 11 |
| 16°F | Mar 1 | Feb 18 | Feb 8 | Feb 1 | Jan 29 | Jan 23 | Jan 18 | Jan 12 | Jan 2 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 15 |
| 32°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 30 |
| 28°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 |
| 24°F | Nov 14 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 |
| 20°F | Nov 27 | Dec 5 | Dec 13 | Dec 22 | Dec 26 | Dec 31 | Jan 4 | Jan 11 | Jan 21 |
| 16°F | Dec 12 | Dec 24 | Dec 31 | Jan 2 | Jan 8 | Jan 12 | Jan 16 | Jan 24 | Feb 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 237 | 228 | 222 | 217 | 212 | 208 | 204 | 198 | 190 |
| 32°F | 262 | 254 | 247 | 241 | 235 | 230 | 224 | 217 | 210 |
| 28°F | 290 | 279 | 272 | 265 | 260 | 254 | 249 | 243 | 233 |
| 24°F | 317 | 306 | 300 | 294 | 288 | 281 | 274 | 266 | 255 |
| 20°F | 351 | 338 | 330 | 323 | 315 | 308 | 302 | 295 | 283 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 359 | 349 | 342 | 334 | 327 | 318 | 306 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 95% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 75% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,210
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,092
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,310
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,776
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,384
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,136
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,040
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 781 | 0 | 26 |
| February | 593 | 1 | 47 |
| March | 406 | 9 | 160 |
| April | 159 | 57 | 362 |
| May | 30 | 210 | 645 |
| June | 1 | 414 | 864 |
| July | 0 | 516 | 981 |
| August | 0 | 487 | 952 |
| September | 11 | 303 | 742 |
| October | 139 | 85 | 420 |
| November | 410 | 10 | 144 |
| December | 681 | 1 | 42 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 29.3 km from Turrell. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00037712 (W Memphis). Public domain.