Strong Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Calion L&d. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 18 and the first fall freeze around November 7, a growing season of about 235 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 2, first October 30
- Median at 32°F
- last March 18, first November 7
- Median at 28°F
- last March 4, first November 21
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 20 | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 14 |
| 32°F | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 |
| 28°F | Mar 23 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 10 |
| 24°F | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 12 | Feb 2 | Jan 29 | Jan 19 |
| 20°F | Feb 27 | Feb 15 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 19 | Jan 10 | Dec 30 |
| 16°F | Feb 8 | Feb 1 | Jan 28 | Jan 23 | Jan 19 | Jan 11 | Jan 6 | Dec 31 | Dec 24 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 13 |
| 32°F | Oct 24 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 27 |
| 28°F | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 11 |
| 24°F | Nov 12 | Nov 19 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 19 | Dec 28 | Jan 5 |
| 20°F | Nov 27 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 14 | Jan 25 |
| 16°F | Dec 12 | Dec 22 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 8 | Jan 15 | Jan 20 | Feb 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 232 | 224 | 219 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 202 | 196 | 188 |
| 32°F | 260 | 251 | 245 | 240 | 235 | 230 | 225 | 219 | 209 |
| 28°F | 290 | 279 | 272 | 266 | 262 | 256 | 251 | 244 | 235 |
| 24°F | 331 | 319 | 310 | 303 | 296 | 289 | 280 | 273 | 261 |
| 20°F | 365 | 354 | 346 | 337 | 331 | 324 | 317 | 308 | 297 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 360 | 349 | 341 | 331 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 87% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 50% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,754
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,124
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,655
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,045
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,579
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,268
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,116
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 668 | 1 | 47 |
| February | 501 | 3 | 73 |
| March | 324 | 16 | 208 |
| April | 128 | 63 | 391 |
| May | 20 | 212 | 657 |
| June | 1 | 402 | 852 |
| July | 0 | 521 | 986 |
| August | 0 | 499 | 964 |
| September | 9 | 309 | 750 |
| October | 127 | 84 | 429 |
| November | 376 | 12 | 157 |
| December | 601 | 3 | 66 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 26 km from Strong. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00031140 (Calion L&d). Public domain.