Randolph County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Pocahontas 1. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 31 and the first fall freeze around November 1, a growing season of about 214 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 12, first October 23
- Median at 32°F
- last March 31, first November 1
- Median at 28°F
- last March 18, first November 12
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 29 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 |
| 32°F | Apr 18 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 |
| 28°F | Apr 7 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 |
| 24°F | Mar 28 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 |
| 20°F | Mar 17 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 | Feb 1 |
| 16°F | Mar 7 | Mar 1 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 | Feb 11 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 16 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 10 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 |
| 32°F | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 17 |
| 28°F | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Dec 2 |
| 24°F | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 |
| 20°F | Nov 14 | Nov 22 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 | Dec 30 |
| 16°F | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 10 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 | Jan 18 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 214 | 208 | 202 | 197 | 193 | 189 | 185 | 180 | 173 |
| 32°F | 237 | 229 | 224 | 219 | 214 | 210 | 205 | 200 | 190 |
| 28°F | 264 | 256 | 248 | 242 | 238 | 232 | 228 | 223 | 214 |
| 24°F | 286 | 278 | 272 | 266 | 260 | 254 | 249 | 242 | 232 |
| 20°F | 313 | 303 | 296 | 290 | 284 | 278 | 271 | 265 | 255 |
| 16°F | 342 | 332 | 323 | 317 | 309 | 303 | 297 | 288 | 279 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 98% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,954
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,611
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,287
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,859
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,579
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,447
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,456
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 908 | 0 | 9 |
| February | 707 | 0 | 22 |
| March | 506 | 4 | 104 |
| April | 218 | 27 | 280 |
| May | 57 | 134 | 543 |
| June | 2 | 335 | 783 |
| July | 0 | 451 | 916 |
| August | 0 | 409 | 874 |
| September | 22 | 207 | 635 |
| October | 202 | 41 | 320 |
| November | 523 | 3 | 77 |
| December | 809 | 0 | 16 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.2 km from Randolph County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00035820 (Pocahontas 1). Public domain.