Oppelo Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Morrilton. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 30 and the first fall freeze around November 2, a growing season of about 219 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 10, first October 24
- Median at 32°F
- last March 30, first November 2
- Median at 28°F
- last March 14, first November 14
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 27 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 |
| 32°F | Apr 15 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 |
| 28°F | Apr 2 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 26 |
| 24°F | Mar 19 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 7 |
| 20°F | Mar 7 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 28 | Jan 18 |
| 16°F | Feb 27 | Feb 15 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 29 | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 6 | Dec 30 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 |
| 32°F | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 20 |
| 28°F | Oct 30 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 |
| 24°F | Nov 8 | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 19 |
| 20°F | Nov 20 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 |
| 16°F | Dec 3 | Dec 12 | Dec 20 | Dec 26 | Dec 31 | Jan 3 | Jan 10 | Jan 17 | Feb 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 217 | 210 | 204 | 199 | 196 | 191 | 187 | 182 | 175 |
| 32°F | 245 | 236 | 229 | 223 | 219 | 214 | 208 | 203 | 195 |
| 28°F | 270 | 261 | 255 | 251 | 245 | 240 | 233 | 227 | 217 |
| 24°F | 299 | 289 | 283 | 277 | 271 | 265 | 260 | 254 | 245 |
| 20°F | 334 | 324 | 316 | 308 | 302 | 295 | 288 | 279 | 268 |
| 16°F | 365 | 359 | 349 | 340 | 334 | 329 | 321 | 313 | 302 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 86% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,359
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,955
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,021
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,505
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,141
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,931
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,866
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 789 | 0 | 22 |
| February | 603 | 1 | 41 |
| March | 422 | 9 | 144 |
| April | 179 | 44 | 329 |
| May | 40 | 170 | 596 |
| June | 1 | 385 | 834 |
| July | 0 | 518 | 983 |
| August | 0 | 487 | 952 |
| September | 14 | 268 | 704 |
| October | 158 | 66 | 384 |
| November | 438 | 8 | 122 |
| December | 715 | 1 | 33 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.3 km from Oppelo. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00034938 (Morrilton). Public domain.