Lepanto Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Keiser. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 23 and the first fall freeze around November 6, a growing season of about 229 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 3, first October 28
- Median at 32°F
- last March 23, first November 6
- Median at 28°F
- last March 8, first November 22
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 19 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 |
| 32°F | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 |
| 28°F | Mar 29 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 20 |
| 24°F | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 12 | Feb 5 |
| 20°F | Mar 10 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 29 | Jan 18 |
| 16°F | Mar 2 | Feb 24 | Feb 15 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 28 | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 4 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 12 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 |
| 32°F | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 27 |
| 28°F | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 |
| 24°F | Nov 13 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 20 | Dec 26 | Jan 3 |
| 20°F | Dec 1 | Dec 9 | Dec 17 | Dec 24 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 8 | Jan 16 | Jan 26 |
| 16°F | Dec 12 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 7 | Jan 12 | Jan 17 | Jan 26 | Feb 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 229 | 220 | 215 | 212 | 208 | 203 | 199 | 194 | 187 |
| 32°F | 254 | 245 | 239 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 219 | 215 | 206 |
| 28°F | 284 | 275 | 267 | 262 | 256 | 251 | 245 | 239 | 227 |
| 24°F | 315 | 304 | 296 | 290 | 284 | 277 | 270 | 264 | 254 |
| 20°F | 344 | 333 | 324 | 316 | 309 | 303 | 296 | 289 | 277 |
| 16°F | 365 | 363 | 354 | 345 | 337 | 331 | 322 | 311 | 300 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 97% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 82% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,357
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,133
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,239
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,730
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,363
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,143
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,066
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 806 | 0 | 23 |
| February | 616 | 1 | 43 |
| March | 434 | 11 | 148 |
| April | 166 | 68 | 368 |
| May | 30 | 230 | 665 |
| June | 1 | 442 | 891 |
| July | 0 | 530 | 995 |
| August | 0 | 479 | 944 |
| September | 15 | 279 | 714 |
| October | 153 | 82 | 404 |
| November | 434 | 9 | 131 |
| December | 701 | 1 | 37 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 22.7 km from Lepanto. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00033821 (Keiser). Public domain.