Highfill Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Fayetteville Nw Ar AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 8 and the first fall freeze around October 28, a growing season of about 203 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 22, first October 19
- Median at 32°F
- last April 8, first October 28
- Median at 28°F
- last March 27, first November 7
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 3 |
| 32°F | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 21 |
| 28°F | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 6 |
| 24°F | Apr 2 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 |
| 20°F | Mar 21 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 18 | Feb 11 |
| 16°F | Mar 12 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 26 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 32°F | Oct 14 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 12 |
| 28°F | Oct 24 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 |
| 24°F | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 |
| 20°F | Nov 9 | Nov 16 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 22 |
| 16°F | Nov 23 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 19 | Dec 24 | Jan 1 | Jan 9 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 202 | 195 | 189 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 171 | 165 | 158 |
| 32°F | 226 | 218 | 213 | 207 | 203 | 198 | 194 | 189 | 181 |
| 28°F | 252 | 244 | 237 | 231 | 226 | 221 | 216 | 210 | 201 |
| 24°F | 277 | 267 | 261 | 255 | 249 | 244 | 239 | 232 | 223 |
| 20°F | 300 | 290 | 283 | 278 | 273 | 268 | 262 | 255 | 244 |
| 16°F | 328 | 318 | 310 | 303 | 298 | 292 | 286 | 278 | 269 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,858
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,561
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,301
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,845
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,540
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,391
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,397
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 865 | 0 | 16 |
| February | 669 | 1 | 36 |
| March | 483 | 6 | 117 |
| April | 235 | 29 | 273 |
| May | 72 | 114 | 508 |
| June | 4 | 302 | 748 |
| July | 0 | 446 | 911 |
| August | 1 | 422 | 886 |
| September | 30 | 197 | 617 |
| October | 214 | 41 | 311 |
| November | 498 | 3 | 94 |
| December | 788 | 0 | 22 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5.7 km from Highfill. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00053922 (Fayetteville Nw Ar AP). Public domain.