Gillett Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Arkansas Post. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 10 and the first fall freeze around November 18, a growing season of about 251 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 23, first November 7
- Median at 32°F
- last March 10, first November 18
- Median at 28°F
- last February 28, first December 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 9 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 |
| 32°F | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 20 |
| 28°F | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 19 | Feb 12 | Feb 1 |
| 24°F | Mar 7 | Mar 1 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 | Feb 3 | Jan 30 | Jan 23 | Jan 13 |
| 20°F | Feb 25 | Feb 15 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 | Jan 27 | Jan 20 | Jan 15 | Jan 7 | Dec 30 |
| 16°F | Feb 12 | Feb 4 | Jan 30 | Jan 25 | Jan 20 | Jan 15 | Jan 9 | Jan 5 | Dec 30 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 24 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 25 |
| 32°F | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 |
| 28°F | Nov 11 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 25 |
| 24°F | Nov 24 | Dec 3 | Dec 10 | Dec 18 | Dec 24 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 | Jan 17 |
| 20°F | Dec 11 | Dec 23 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 9 | Jan 16 | Jan 22 | Feb 3 |
| 16°F | Dec 22 | Dec 31 | Jan 2 | Jan 6 | Jan 12 | Jan 17 | Jan 22 | Jan 31 | Feb 7 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 255 | 246 | 240 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 219 | 213 | 205 |
| 32°F | 280 | 271 | 263 | 257 | 251 | 247 | 242 | 236 | 228 |
| 28°F | 309 | 299 | 292 | 285 | 278 | 272 | 266 | 260 | 252 |
| 24°F | 342 | 332 | 325 | 318 | 312 | 305 | 298 | 289 | 276 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 357 | 348 | 340 | 334 | 328 | 318 | 306 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 | 347 | 334 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 78% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 44% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,663
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,151
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,778
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,159
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,675
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,343
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,164
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 673 | 0 | 43 |
| February | 487 | 3 | 80 |
| March | 310 | 18 | 221 |
| April | 107 | 71 | 419 |
| May | 15 | 223 | 673 |
| June | 0 | 413 | 862 |
| July | 0 | 516 | 981 |
| August | 0 | 488 | 953 |
| September | 7 | 310 | 753 |
| October | 108 | 97 | 459 |
| November | 356 | 11 | 171 |
| December | 599 | 1 | 61 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.6 km from Gillett. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00030240 (Arkansas Post). Public domain.