Earle Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Wynne. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 23 and the first fall freeze around November 7, a growing season of about 231 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 4, first October 28
- Median at 32°F
- last March 23, first November 7
- Median at 28°F
- last March 9, first November 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 18 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 17 |
| 32°F | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 3 |
| 28°F | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 |
| 24°F | Mar 17 | Mar 11 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 15 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 |
| 20°F | Mar 7 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 30 | Jan 23 | Jan 12 |
| 16°F | Feb 27 | Feb 17 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 28 | Jan 22 | Jan 16 | Jan 9 | Jan 1 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 12 |
| 32°F | Oct 24 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 27 |
| 28°F | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 12 |
| 24°F | Nov 10 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 19 | Dec 26 | Jan 4 |
| 20°F | Nov 27 | Dec 5 | Dec 14 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 13 | Jan 25 |
| 16°F | Dec 14 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 10 | Jan 15 | Jan 20 | Jan 28 | Feb 5 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 231 | 222 | 217 | 212 | 209 | 205 | 200 | 195 | 189 |
| 32°F | 256 | 246 | 240 | 235 | 231 | 226 | 221 | 215 | 206 |
| 28°F | 285 | 275 | 267 | 261 | 255 | 249 | 243 | 237 | 229 |
| 24°F | 319 | 306 | 298 | 291 | 284 | 278 | 272 | 264 | 253 |
| 20°F | 353 | 340 | 333 | 325 | 316 | 309 | 303 | 293 | 278 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 361 | 352 | 344 | 336 | 331 | 321 | 307 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 96% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 74% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,163
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,183
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,441
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,905
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,507
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,255
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,143
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 766 | 1 | 31 |
| February | 588 | 2 | 55 |
| March | 402 | 15 | 171 |
| April | 154 | 69 | 377 |
| May | 28 | 235 | 671 |
| June | 1 | 441 | 891 |
| July | 0 | 533 | 998 |
| August | 0 | 485 | 950 |
| September | 13 | 291 | 727 |
| October | 134 | 98 | 438 |
| November | 407 | 12 | 149 |
| December | 669 | 1 | 49 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 30 km from Earle. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00038052 (Wynne). Public domain.