Tusayan Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Grand Canyon Np AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around June 17 and the first fall freeze around September 24, a growing season of about 97 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 28, first September 15
- Median at 32°F
- last June 17, first September 24
- Median at 28°F
- last June 4, first October 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jul 12 | Jul 5 | Jul 2 | Jun 30 | Jun 28 | Jun 25 | Jun 22 | Jun 19 | Jun 15 |
| 32°F | Jul 1 | Jun 26 | Jun 23 | Jun 20 | Jun 17 | Jun 14 | Jun 11 | Jun 7 | Jun 3 |
| 28°F | Jun 21 | Jun 15 | Jun 11 | Jun 8 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 22 | May 14 |
| 24°F | Jun 8 | Jun 3 | May 27 | May 20 | May 16 | May 12 | May 8 | May 4 | Apr 30 |
| 20°F | May 19 | May 12 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 12 |
| 16°F | May 3 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 18 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 10 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 17 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 |
| 32°F | Sep 12 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 |
| 28°F | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 |
| 24°F | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Nov 1 |
| 20°F | Oct 8 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 |
| 16°F | Oct 20 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 95 | 88 | 83 | 80 | 77 | 74 | 70 | 65 | 58 |
| 32°F | 116 | 110 | 105 | 102 | 97 | 94 | 90 | 86 | 80 |
| 28°F | 144 | 137 | 131 | 126 | 121 | 117 | 113 | 108 | 100 |
| 24°F | 172 | 164 | 158 | 153 | 148 | 144 | 139 | 132 | 124 |
| 20°F | 202 | 194 | 188 | 182 | 178 | 172 | 168 | 162 | 151 |
| 16°F | 233 | 224 | 218 | 212 | 206 | 201 | 196 | 188 | 179 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,799
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 162
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,678
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,624
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,763
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,067
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 525
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,090 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 923 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 829 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 653 | 0 | 9 |
| May | 430 | 0 | 101 |
| June | 155 | 13 | 311 |
| July | 22 | 82 | 525 |
| August | 28 | 62 | 499 |
| September | 195 | 4 | 267 |
| October | 533 | 0 | 49 |
| November | 831 | 0 | 2 |
| December | 1,111 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4 km from Tusayan. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00003195 (Grand Canyon Np AP). Public domain.