Tanque Verde Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Tucson Camp Ave Exp. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 20 and the first fall freeze around November 27, a growing season of about 280 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 12, first November 16
- Median at 32°F
- last February 20, first November 27
- Median at 28°F
- last January 30, first December 10
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 5 | Mar 28 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 19 |
| 32°F | Mar 11 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 16 | Feb 11 | Feb 6 | Jan 30 |
| 28°F | Feb 24 | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Feb 4 | Jan 30 | Jan 23 | Jan 15 | Jan 7 | Dec 29 |
| 24°F | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 8 | Dec 31 | Dec 26 | Dec 19 | Dec 9 |
| 20°F | Feb 1 | Jan 19 | Jan 12 | Jan 9 | Jan 4 | Jan 2 | Dec 31 | Dec 21 | Dec 12 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
| 32°F | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 |
| 28°F | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 25 | Jan 2 |
| 24°F | Dec 1 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 25 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 12 | Jan 26 |
| 20°F | Dec 12 | Dec 20 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 2 | Jan 4 | Jan 7 | Jan 12 | Jan 24 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 274 | 265 | 258 | 252 | 247 | 242 | 236 | 228 | 218 |
| 32°F | 308 | 299 | 292 | 285 | 280 | 275 | 269 | 262 | 253 |
| 28°F | 347 | 338 | 330 | 323 | 316 | 308 | 302 | 294 | 282 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 359 | 351 | 343 | 334 | 326 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 63% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 11% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,463
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,191
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,855
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,048
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,312
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,730
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,356
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 386 | 0 | 115 |
| February | 269 | 2 | 166 |
| March | 150 | 29 | 347 |
| April | 47 | 113 | 516 |
| May | 4 | 319 | 780 |
| June | 0 | 589 | 1,039 |
| July | 0 | 708 | 1,173 |
| August | 0 | 671 | 1,136 |
| September | 0 | 513 | 963 |
| October | 18 | 215 | 662 |
| November | 178 | 31 | 311 |
| December | 411 | 0 | 104 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 19.8 km from Tanque Verde. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00028796 (Tucson Camp Ave Exp). Public domain.