Stanfield Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Casa Grande. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 5 and the first fall freeze around December 6, a growing season of about 305 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last February 26, first November 24
- Median at 32°F
- last February 5, first December 6
- Median at 28°F
- last January 14, first December 22
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 16 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 | Jan 31 |
| 32°F | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 10 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 16 | Jan 5 |
| 28°F | Feb 15 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 23 | Jan 14 | Jan 8 | Jan 1 | Dec 28 | Dec 16 |
| 24°F | Feb 5 | Jan 23 | Jan 16 | Jan 11 | Jan 6 | Jan 1 | Dec 30 | Dec 19 | Dec 10 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 |
| 32°F | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 | Dec 29 |
| 28°F | Nov 29 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 22 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 | Jan 24 |
| 24°F | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 10 | Jan 17 | Jan 31 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 299 | 289 | 283 | 277 | 271 | 265 | 260 | 253 | 243 |
| 32°F | 340 | 329 | 320 | 313 | 305 | 298 | 291 | 284 | 273 |
| 28°F | 365 | 362 | 354 | 347 | 340 | 333 | 326 | 317 | 304 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 353 | 340 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 79% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 28% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 3% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,241
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,963
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 11,848
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 10,032
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 8,266
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 6,633
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 5,199
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 345 | 1 | 145 |
| February | 229 | 6 | 205 |
| March | 105 | 60 | 421 |
| April | 23 | 181 | 608 |
| May | 2 | 418 | 881 |
| June | 0 | 685 | 1,135 |
| July | 0 | 851 | 1,316 |
| August | 0 | 815 | 1,280 |
| September | 0 | 617 | 1,066 |
| October | 12 | 285 | 738 |
| November | 151 | 43 | 349 |
| December | 372 | 1 | 123 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 23.1 km from Stanfield. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00021306 (Casa Grande). Public domain.