Snowflake Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Snowflake. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 11 and the first fall freeze around October 10, a growing season of about 149 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 26, first October 2
- Median at 32°F
- last May 11, first October 10
- Median at 28°F
- last April 29, first October 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 12 | Jun 6 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 26 | May 22 | May 18 | May 14 | May 10 |
| 32°F | May 31 | May 22 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 27 |
| 28°F | May 15 | May 10 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 12 |
| 24°F | May 3 | Apr 26 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 22 |
| 20°F | Apr 14 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 |
| 16°F | Mar 26 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 8 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 20 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 13 |
| 32°F | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 |
| 28°F | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 |
| 24°F | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 |
| 20°F | Oct 25 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 |
| 16°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 148 | 141 | 136 | 132 | 127 | 122 | 117 | 111 | 104 |
| 32°F | 169 | 162 | 157 | 152 | 149 | 145 | 140 | 135 | 126 |
| 28°F | 193 | 186 | 182 | 177 | 172 | 169 | 164 | 158 | 150 |
| 24°F | 223 | 216 | 209 | 204 | 199 | 194 | 188 | 182 | 174 |
| 20°F | 253 | 246 | 240 | 233 | 229 | 224 | 218 | 210 | 202 |
| 16°F | 284 | 275 | 269 | 264 | 260 | 255 | 249 | 242 | 233 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,887
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 704
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,476
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,154
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,034
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,094
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,319
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 927 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 725 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 619 | 0 | 19 |
| April | 414 | 0 | 96 |
| May | 192 | 16 | 297 |
| June | 27 | 123 | 546 |
| July | 1 | 273 | 738 |
| August | 1 | 220 | 684 |
| September | 49 | 70 | 471 |
| October | 333 | 1 | 167 |
| November | 657 | 0 | 15 |
| December | 942 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.8 km from Snowflake. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00028012 (Snowflake). Public domain.