Sevenmile Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Mc Nary 2N. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 20 and the first fall freeze around October 11, a growing season of about 142 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 1, first October 2
- Median at 32°F
- last May 20, first October 11
- Median at 28°F
- last May 6, first October 22
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 12 | Jun 8 | Jun 5 | Jun 3 | Jun 1 | May 30 | May 26 | May 22 | May 19 |
| 32°F | Jun 4 | May 31 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 17 | May 14 | May 9 | May 5 |
| 28°F | May 23 | May 16 | May 13 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 22 |
| 24°F | May 10 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 5 |
| 20°F | Apr 26 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 17 | Mar 10 |
| 16°F | Apr 6 | Mar 30 | Mar 20 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 21 | Feb 12 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 |
| 32°F | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 |
| 28°F | Oct 7 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 |
| 24°F | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 |
| 20°F | Oct 25 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 |
| 16°F | Nov 4 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 140 | 134 | 130 | 126 | 123 | 120 | 117 | 112 | 105 |
| 32°F | 162 | 155 | 150 | 146 | 142 | 138 | 134 | 129 | 122 |
| 28°F | 189 | 181 | 175 | 170 | 167 | 162 | 158 | 153 | 147 |
| 24°F | 217 | 208 | 202 | 197 | 192 | 188 | 183 | 177 | 168 |
| 20°F | 254 | 243 | 235 | 228 | 222 | 215 | 210 | 204 | 196 |
| 16°F | 289 | 278 | 270 | 263 | 256 | 250 | 242 | 233 | 222 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,113
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 138
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,020
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,859
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,900
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,123
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 519
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,003 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 841 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 772 | 0 | 4 |
| April | 606 | 0 | 22 |
| May | 365 | 3 | 152 |
| June | 91 | 37 | 398 |
| July | 32 | 63 | 496 |
| August | 55 | 31 | 442 |
| September | 170 | 5 | 288 |
| October | 456 | 0 | 88 |
| November | 723 | 0 | 11 |
| December | 1,000 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 37.7 km from Sevenmile. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00025412 (Mc Nary 2N). Public domain.