Sanders Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Sanders. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 22 and the first fall freeze around October 8, a growing season of about 138 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 4, first October 1
- Median at 32°F
- last May 22, first October 8
- Median at 28°F
- last May 7, first October 17
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 17 | Jun 13 | Jun 10 | Jun 7 | Jun 4 | Jun 2 | May 31 | May 26 | May 20 |
| 32°F | Jun 10 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 27 | May 22 | May 19 | May 15 | May 10 | May 5 |
| 28°F | May 31 | May 22 | May 17 | May 12 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 21 |
| 24°F | May 16 | May 8 | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 5 |
| 20°F | Apr 29 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 22 | Mar 13 |
| 16°F | Apr 4 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 22 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 17 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 |
| 32°F | Sep 25 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 |
| 28°F | Sep 30 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Nov 2 |
| 24°F | Oct 10 | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 12 |
| 20°F | Oct 21 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 |
| 16°F | Oct 29 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 136 | 129 | 124 | 121 | 117 | 112 | 108 | 104 | 97 |
| 32°F | 161 | 153 | 147 | 142 | 138 | 133 | 128 | 123 | 115 |
| 28°F | 184 | 177 | 171 | 166 | 161 | 156 | 150 | 144 | 133 |
| 24°F | 211 | 203 | 197 | 191 | 185 | 180 | 174 | 166 | 154 |
| 20°F | 241 | 231 | 225 | 220 | 214 | 210 | 203 | 197 | 187 |
| 16°F | 273 | 264 | 257 | 251 | 246 | 241 | 234 | 228 | 219 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,275
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 641
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,155
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,900
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,843
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,953
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,219
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 981 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 774 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 681 | 0 | 9 |
| April | 471 | 0 | 65 |
| May | 239 | 8 | 247 |
| June | 40 | 97 | 507 |
| July | 1 | 258 | 722 |
| August | 2 | 215 | 677 |
| September | 61 | 62 | 452 |
| October | 361 | 1 | 150 |
| November | 692 | 0 | 12 |
| December | 973 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.4 km from Sanders. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00027488 (Sanders). Public domain.