Round Rock Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lukachukai. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 3 and the first fall freeze around October 17, a growing season of about 163 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 16, first October 8
- Median at 32°F
- last May 3, first October 17
- Median at 28°F
- last April 23, first October 27
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 6 | May 29 | May 24 | May 20 | May 16 | May 13 | May 9 | May 5 | Apr 30 |
| 32°F | May 22 | May 14 | May 10 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 |
| 28°F | May 9 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 |
| 24°F | Apr 28 | Apr 21 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 16 |
| 20°F | Apr 8 | Apr 1 | Mar 25 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 21 |
| 16°F | Mar 20 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 12 | Feb 5 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 |
| 32°F | Oct 2 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 |
| 28°F | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 12 |
| 24°F | Oct 20 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 |
| 20°F | Oct 27 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 |
| 16°F | Nov 5 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 165 | 157 | 152 | 148 | 144 | 139 | 134 | 128 | 120 |
| 32°F | 185 | 178 | 172 | 168 | 163 | 159 | 155 | 151 | 143 |
| 28°F | 207 | 199 | 192 | 188 | 183 | 178 | 174 | 169 | 161 |
| 24°F | 234 | 225 | 218 | 213 | 208 | 203 | 198 | 191 | 182 |
| 20°F | 269 | 260 | 255 | 249 | 243 | 236 | 231 | 222 | 212 |
| 16°F | 297 | 288 | 281 | 275 | 270 | 265 | 259 | 252 | 244 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,733
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 685
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,103
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,910
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,881
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,014
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,280
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,128 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 837 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 693 | 0 | 12 |
| April | 526 | 0 | 61 |
| May | 243 | 12 | 256 |
| June | 36 | 137 | 551 |
| July | 2 | 255 | 717 |
| August | 4 | 201 | 662 |
| September | 68 | 80 | 465 |
| October | 387 | 1 | 143 |
| November | 732 | 0 | 14 |
| December | 1,076 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 24.4 km from Round Rock. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00025129 (Lukachukai). Public domain.