Prescott Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Prescott. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 30 and the first fall freeze around October 20, a growing season of about 172 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 12, first October 10
- Median at 32°F
- last April 30, first October 20
- Median at 28°F
- last April 13, first October 31
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 30 | May 23 | May 18 | May 16 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 28 |
| 32°F | May 15 | May 10 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 14 |
| 28°F | May 2 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 28 |
| 24°F | Apr 16 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 |
| 20°F | Mar 30 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 15 | Feb 6 |
| 16°F | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 10 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 22 | Jan 11 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 |
| 32°F | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 |
| 28°F | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 |
| 24°F | Oct 24 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 |
| 20°F | Nov 5 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 |
| 16°F | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 26 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 168 | 162 | 159 | 154 | 150 | 147 | 142 | 137 | 129 |
| 32°F | 193 | 187 | 182 | 177 | 172 | 167 | 164 | 159 | 153 |
| 28°F | 222 | 214 | 208 | 204 | 200 | 195 | 189 | 184 | 175 |
| 24°F | 255 | 247 | 241 | 235 | 230 | 225 | 220 | 215 | 206 |
| 20°F | 293 | 283 | 275 | 269 | 263 | 257 | 252 | 245 | 234 |
| 16°F | 332 | 320 | 311 | 304 | 297 | 291 | 283 | 276 | 266 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,388
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 916
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,013
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,611
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,424
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,424
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,590
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 831 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 678 | 0 | 5 |
| March | 577 | 0 | 42 |
| April | 374 | 1 | 131 |
| May | 170 | 36 | 340 |
| June | 23 | 182 | 609 |
| July | 1 | 320 | 784 |
| August | 1 | 263 | 727 |
| September | 39 | 108 | 519 |
| October | 271 | 7 | 227 |
| November | 579 | 0 | 38 |
| December | 845 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4.7 km from Prescott. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00026796 (Prescott). Public domain.