Linden Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Show Low AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 5 and the first fall freeze around October 15, a growing season of about 162 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 17, first October 7
- Median at 32°F
- last May 5, first October 15
- Median at 28°F
- last April 22, first October 24
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 2 | May 28 | May 24 | May 21 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 7 | May 2 |
| 32°F | May 20 | May 14 | May 10 | May 7 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 |
| 28°F | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 |
| 24°F | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 23 | Mar 15 |
| 20°F | Apr 11 | Apr 5 | Mar 30 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 23 |
| 16°F | Mar 28 | Mar 14 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 8 | Jan 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 |
| 32°F | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 |
| 28°F | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 8 |
| 24°F | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 |
| 20°F | Oct 28 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 |
| 16°F | Nov 7 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Nov 30 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 160 | 154 | 149 | 145 | 141 | 137 | 134 | 129 | 122 |
| 32°F | 181 | 174 | 169 | 165 | 162 | 157 | 153 | 149 | 141 |
| 28°F | 204 | 198 | 192 | 188 | 184 | 179 | 175 | 169 | 163 |
| 24°F | 236 | 228 | 221 | 215 | 210 | 205 | 200 | 194 | 187 |
| 20°F | 271 | 261 | 253 | 246 | 240 | 234 | 228 | 222 | 210 |
| 16°F | 302 | 290 | 282 | 275 | 270 | 264 | 257 | 250 | 236 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,926
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 613
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,405
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,077
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,949
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,004
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,226
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 936 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 731 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 631 | 0 | 22 |
| April | 425 | 0 | 95 |
| May | 204 | 19 | 293 |
| June | 26 | 140 | 564 |
| July | 1 | 226 | 690 |
| August | 5 | 168 | 628 |
| September | 56 | 60 | 455 |
| October | 331 | 1 | 173 |
| November | 639 | 0 | 25 |
| December | 942 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 13.9 km from Linden. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00027855 (Show Low AP). Public domain.