Ehrenberg Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Ehrenberg 2 E. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around January 4 and the first fall freeze around December 19, a growing season of about 347 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last February 3, first December 7
- Median at 32°F
- last January 4, first December 19
- Median at 28°F
- last December 29, first December 26
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Feb 28 | Feb 20 | Feb 15 | Feb 8 | Feb 3 | Jan 31 | Jan 24 | Jan 15 | Jan 5 |
| 32°F | Feb 10 | Jan 27 | Jan 15 | Jan 8 | Jan 4 | Dec 31 | Dec 28 | Dec 23 | Dec 16 |
| 28°F | Feb 4 | Jan 8 | Jan 3 | Dec 31 | Dec 29 | Dec 26 | Dec 22 | Dec 18 | Dec 13 |
| 24°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 14 | Dec 18 | Dec 22 |
| 32°F | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 12 | Dec 16 | Dec 19 | Dec 22 | Dec 26 | Dec 30 | Jan 5 |
| 28°F | Dec 11 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 23 | Dec 26 | Dec 29 | Dec 31 | Jan 4 | Jan 13 |
| 24°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 338 | 327 | 319 | 312 | 305 | 298 | 292 | 285 | 276 |
| 32°F | 365 | 362 | 357 | 351 | 347 | 342 | 337 | 331 | 315 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 364 | 359 | 350 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 83% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 29% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 3% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 0% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,079
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 4,356
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 12,402
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 10,582
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 8,795
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 7,122
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 5,637
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 304 | 1 | 175 |
| February | 183 | 8 | 248 |
| March | 81 | 72 | 456 |
| April | 19 | 205 | 636 |
| May | 2 | 465 | 929 |
| June | 0 | 723 | 1,173 |
| July | 0 | 907 | 1,372 |
| August | 0 | 902 | 1,367 |
| September | 0 | 687 | 1,137 |
| October | 5 | 334 | 794 |
| November | 119 | 51 | 385 |
| December | 366 | 1 | 124 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5.1 km from Ehrenberg. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00022790 (Ehrenberg 2 E). Public domain.