Apache Junction Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Apache Junction 5 Ne. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 11 and the first fall freeze around December 10, a growing season of about 304 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 6, first November 28
- Median at 32°F
- last February 11, first December 10
- Median at 28°F
- last January 13, first December 22
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 1 | Mar 24 | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 7 |
| 32°F | Mar 7 | Feb 28 | Feb 21 | Feb 16 | Feb 11 | Feb 5 | Jan 27 | Jan 18 | Jan 5 |
| 28°F | Feb 18 | Feb 11 | Feb 3 | Jan 24 | Jan 13 | Jan 7 | Jan 1 | Dec 22 | Dec 12 |
| 24°F | Feb 9 | Jan 28 | Jan 18 | Jan 9 | Jan 4 | Jan 1 | Dec 26 | Dec 16 | Dec 8 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 7 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 |
| 32°F | Nov 19 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 14 | Dec 19 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 |
| 28°F | Nov 28 | Dec 4 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 31 | Jan 6 | Jan 16 | Feb 1 |
| 24°F | Dec 1 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 10 | Jan 22 | Feb 4 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 302 | 290 | 280 | 273 | 266 | 259 | 252 | 242 | 229 |
| 32°F | 341 | 330 | 321 | 314 | 304 | 296 | 288 | 280 | 269 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 362 | 354 | 344 | 338 | 330 | 319 | 307 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 355 | 338 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 78% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 30% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 4% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,216
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,768
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 11,681
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,871
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 8,111
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 6,470
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 5,012
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 319 | 2 | 173 |
| February | 231 | 7 | 211 |
| March | 129 | 47 | 386 |
| April | 40 | 149 | 560 |
| May | 5 | 374 | 834 |
| June | 0 | 631 | 1,081 |
| July | 0 | 809 | 1,274 |
| August | 0 | 778 | 1,243 |
| September | 0 | 606 | 1,056 |
| October | 15 | 301 | 752 |
| November | 132 | 63 | 386 |
| December | 346 | 2 | 155 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 8.3 km from Apache Junction. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00020288 (Apache Junction 5 Ne). Public domain.