Yakutat Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Yakutat State AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 20 and the first fall freeze around September 23, a growing season of about 124 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 5, first September 3
- Median at 32°F
- last May 20, first September 23
- Median at 28°F
- last May 1, first October 7
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 17 | Jun 13 | Jun 10 | Jun 7 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 25 |
| 32°F | May 31 | May 28 | May 25 | May 22 | May 20 | May 17 | May 13 | May 9 | May 3 |
| 28°F | May 18 | May 13 | May 8 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 |
| 24°F | Apr 30 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 |
| 20°F | Apr 16 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 14 |
| 16°F | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 4 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 17 | Aug 24 | Aug 29 | Sep 1 | Sep 3 | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 16 | Sep 23 |
| 32°F | Sep 5 | Sep 11 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 8 |
| 28°F | Sep 20 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 28 |
| 24°F | Oct 5 | Oct 11 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 13 |
| 20°F | Oct 20 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 |
| 16°F | Oct 31 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 9 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 111 | 104 | 98 | 93 | 90 | 85 | 81 | 76 | 70 |
| 32°F | 147 | 139 | 133 | 128 | 124 | 119 | 115 | 109 | 102 |
| 28°F | 184 | 175 | 170 | 165 | 161 | 156 | 150 | 144 | 135 |
| 24°F | 217 | 209 | 204 | 198 | 195 | 190 | 184 | 178 | 169 |
| 20°F | 243 | 233 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 213 | 208 | 202 | 194 |
| 16°F | 271 | 259 | 251 | 244 | 240 | 234 | 228 | 222 | 214 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,706
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 0
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 1,923
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 1,071
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 448
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 91
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 7
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,128 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 962 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,026 | 0 | 0 |
| April | 792 | 0 | 0 |
| May | 600 | 0 | 13 |
| June | 393 | 0 | 77 |
| July | 298 | 0 | 168 |
| August | 321 | 0 | 147 |
| September | 468 | 0 | 40 |
| October | 718 | 0 | 3 |
| November | 939 | 0 | 0 |
| December | 1,062 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5 km from Yakutat. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00025339 (Yakutat State AP). Public domain.