Talkeetna Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Talkeetna AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 16 and the first fall freeze around September 16, a growing season of about 122 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 29, first September 3
- Median at 32°F
- last May 16, first September 16
- Median at 28°F
- last May 5, first September 28
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 10 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 31 | May 29 | May 27 | May 25 | May 23 | May 19 |
| 32°F | May 28 | May 25 | May 22 | May 19 | May 16 | May 14 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 |
| 28°F | May 17 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 5 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 |
| 24°F | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 |
| 20°F | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 14 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 |
| 16°F | Apr 21 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 23 | Aug 27 | Aug 30 | Sep 1 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 9 | Sep 12 | Sep 17 |
| 32°F | Sep 1 | Sep 7 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 |
| 28°F | Sep 13 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 12 |
| 24°F | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 21 |
| 20°F | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 |
| 16°F | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 112 | 107 | 103 | 100 | 97 | 93 | 90 | 86 | 80 |
| 32°F | 139 | 133 | 128 | 125 | 122 | 119 | 115 | 110 | 104 |
| 28°F | 163 | 157 | 153 | 149 | 146 | 142 | 139 | 134 | 127 |
| 24°F | 184 | 178 | 173 | 169 | 166 | 162 | 159 | 154 | 148 |
| 20°F | 200 | 195 | 190 | 186 | 182 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 165 |
| 16°F | 212 | 207 | 203 | 199 | 196 | 193 | 189 | 184 | 178 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 10,592
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 17
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 2,192
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 1,432
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 808
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 351
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 101
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,593 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,294 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,286 | 0 | 0 |
| April | 864 | 0 | 1 |
| May | 536 | 0 | 41 |
| June | 244 | 5 | 216 |
| July | 163 | 9 | 312 |
| August | 266 | 2 | 205 |
| September | 525 | 0 | 33 |
| October | 956 | 0 | 1 |
| November | 1,333 | 0 | 0 |
| December | 1,531 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.8 km from Talkeetna. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00026528 (Talkeetna AP). Public domain.