Seward Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Seward AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 2 and the first fall freeze around October 7, a growing season of about 158 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 20, first September 27
- Median at 32°F
- last May 2, first October 7
- Median at 28°F
- last April 15, first October 21
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 2 | May 29 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 17 | May 15 | May 11 | May 5 |
| 32°F | May 17 | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 |
| 28°F | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 |
| 24°F | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 20 |
| 20°F | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 8 |
| 16°F | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 2 | Feb 22 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 8 |
| 32°F | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 23 |
| 28°F | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 6 |
| 24°F | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 |
| 20°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Dec 1 |
| 16°F | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 17 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 147 | 141 | 136 | 132 | 129 | 125 | 122 | 117 | 111 |
| 32°F | 175 | 170 | 165 | 161 | 158 | 154 | 150 | 146 | 140 |
| 28°F | 208 | 201 | 195 | 192 | 187 | 184 | 180 | 175 | 168 |
| 24°F | 232 | 224 | 219 | 214 | 210 | 207 | 203 | 197 | 190 |
| 20°F | 255 | 245 | 239 | 235 | 230 | 226 | 220 | 215 | 208 |
| 16°F | 282 | 271 | 263 | 257 | 252 | 247 | 240 | 235 | 227 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,960
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 9
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 1,976
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 1,152
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 539
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 168
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 40
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,203 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,011 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,051 | 0 | 0 |
| April | 786 | 0 | 1 |
| May | 580 | 0 | 24 |
| June | 381 | 2 | 93 |
| July | 278 | 5 | 193 |
| August | 288 | 2 | 181 |
| September | 464 | 0 | 45 |
| October | 769 | 0 | 1 |
| November | 1,009 | 0 | 0 |
| December | 1,141 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.1 km from Seward. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00026438 (Seward AP). Public domain.