Noatak Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Kivalina AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around June 10 and the first fall freeze around September 11, a growing season of about 92 days.
- Median at 32°F
- last June 10, first September 11
- Median at 28°F
- last June 1, first September 24
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Jun 23 | Jun 19 | Jun 16 | Jun 13 | Jun 10 | Jun 7 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 24 |
| 28°F | Jun 12 | Jun 8 | Jun 5 | Jun 3 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 23 | May 19 | May 14 |
| 24°F | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 28 | May 24 | May 20 | May 17 | May 14 | May 10 | May 6 |
| 20°F | May 26 | May 22 | May 18 | May 15 | May 12 | May 10 | May 7 | May 5 | May 2 |
| 16°F | May 21 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 8 | May 6 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 28 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Aug 26 | Sep 1 | Sep 3 | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 |
| 28°F | Sep 6 | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 |
| 24°F | Sep 16 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 |
| 20°F | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 |
| 16°F | Oct 3 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 87 | 79 | 72 | 66 | 62 | 57 | 51 | 45 | 36 |
| 32°F | 114 | 107 | 101 | 97 | 92 | 88 | 85 | 80 | 72 |
| 28°F | 134 | 127 | 121 | 118 | 114 | 110 | 106 | 101 | 95 |
| 24°F | 151 | 145 | 140 | 137 | 133 | 129 | 124 | 120 | 112 |
| 20°F | 166 | 160 | 156 | 153 | 149 | 145 | 141 | 136 | 131 |
| 16°F | 178 | 173 | 168 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 153 | 148 | 143 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 15,402
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 4
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 899
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 460
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 175
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 50
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 12
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 2,052 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,784 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,987 | 0 | 0 |
| April | 1,506 | 0 | 0 |
| May | 1,022 | 0 | 1 |
| June | 634 | 1 | 33 |
| July | 440 | 3 | 85 |
| August | 493 | 0 | 51 |
| September | 731 | 0 | 5 |
| October | 1,223 | 0 | 0 |
| November | 1,608 | 0 | 0 |
| December | 1,924 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 69.3 km from Noatak. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00026642 (Kivalina AP). Public domain.