King Cove Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Cold Bay AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 25 and the first fall freeze around October 4, a growing season of about 131 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 7, first September 20
- Median at 32°F
- last May 25, first October 4
- Median at 28°F
- last May 8, first October 21
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 25 | Jun 19 | Jun 14 | Jun 10 | Jun 7 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 23 |
| 32°F | Jun 10 | Jun 5 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 25 | May 22 | May 18 | May 15 | May 9 |
| 28°F | May 27 | May 20 | May 15 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 23 |
| 24°F | May 11 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 |
| 20°F | Apr 26 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 22 |
| 16°F | Apr 12 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 9 | Feb 24 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 23 | Sep 6 | Sep 12 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 |
| 32°F | Sep 20 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 20 |
| 28°F | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 |
| 24°F | Oct 21 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 27 |
| 20°F | Nov 2 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 12 |
| 16°F | Nov 14 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 17 | Dec 25 | Jan 2 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 122 | 115 | 110 | 105 | 100 | 95 | 89 | 83 | 70 |
| 32°F | 154 | 146 | 141 | 136 | 131 | 127 | 122 | 117 | 109 |
| 28°F | 189 | 180 | 175 | 170 | 165 | 160 | 154 | 148 | 140 |
| 24°F | 223 | 215 | 209 | 203 | 199 | 193 | 188 | 183 | 174 |
| 20°F | 255 | 246 | 240 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 219 | 212 | 203 |
| 16°F | 289 | 279 | 271 | 263 | 256 | 251 | 246 | 238 | 228 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 9,363
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 0
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 1,406
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 666
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 195
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 23
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,133 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 973 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,088 | 0 | 0 |
| April | 900 | 0 | 0 |
| May | 744 | 0 | 0 |
| June | 539 | 0 | 11 |
| July | 417 | 0 | 66 |
| August | 383 | 0 | 92 |
| September | 498 | 0 | 25 |
| October | 735 | 0 | 1 |
| November | 893 | 0 | 0 |
| December | 1,062 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 31.8 km from King Cove. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00025624 (Cold Bay AP). Public domain.