Fox River Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Homer 9 E. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 27 and the first fall freeze around September 22, a growing season of about 116 days.
- Median at 32°F
- last May 27, first September 22
- Median at 28°F
- last May 9, first October 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Jun 8 | Jun 3 | Jun 1 | May 30 | May 27 | May 25 | May 22 | May 19 | May 14 |
| 28°F | May 22 | May 18 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 24°F | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 |
| 20°F | Apr 24 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 |
| 16°F | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 17 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Sep 4 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 5 |
| 28°F | Sep 19 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 22 |
| 24°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 2 |
| 20°F | Oct 10 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 12 |
| 16°F | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 24 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 99 | 92 | 87 | 82 | 78 | 74 | 69 | 63 | 54 |
| 32°F | 134 | 127 | 122 | 119 | 116 | 112 | 107 | 102 | 96 |
| 28°F | 168 | 161 | 155 | 151 | 147 | 143 | 139 | 134 | 125 |
| 24°F | 199 | 192 | 187 | 182 | 178 | 173 | 169 | 164 | 156 |
| 20°F | 222 | 214 | 208 | 204 | 200 | 195 | 191 | 186 | 178 |
| 16°F | 239 | 231 | 226 | 221 | 217 | 212 | 208 | 202 | 195 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 9,755
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 0
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 1,704
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 938
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 379
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 77
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 6
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,293 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,082 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,149 | 0 | 0 |
| April | 831 | 0 | 0 |
| May | 631 | 0 | 8 |
| June | 419 | 0 | 63 |
| July | 315 | 0 | 152 |
| August | 340 | 0 | 131 |
| September | 522 | 0 | 23 |
| October | 831 | 0 | 2 |
| November | 1,091 | 0 | 0 |
| December | 1,254 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 25.9 km from Fox River. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00503682 (Homer 9 E). Public domain.