Fort Greely Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Big Delta AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 17 and the first fall freeze around September 7, a growing season of about 113 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 29, first August 27
- Median at 32°F
- last May 17, first September 7
- Median at 28°F
- last May 6, first September 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 9 | Jun 4 | Jun 2 | May 31 | May 29 | May 26 | May 22 | May 19 | May 15 |
| 32°F | May 31 | May 28 | May 24 | May 20 | May 17 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 3 |
| 28°F | May 24 | May 17 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 23 |
| 24°F | May 12 | May 7 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
| 20°F | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 |
| 16°F | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 13 | Aug 17 | Aug 21 | Aug 24 | Aug 27 | Aug 29 | Sep 1 | Sep 4 | Sep 9 |
| 32°F | Aug 23 | Aug 28 | Sep 1 | Sep 3 | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 22 |
| 28°F | Sep 3 | Sep 9 | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 |
| 24°F | Sep 13 | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 10 |
| 20°F | Sep 21 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 |
| 16°F | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 109 | 103 | 98 | 94 | 91 | 88 | 84 | 79 | 72 |
| 32°F | 134 | 127 | 121 | 118 | 113 | 109 | 105 | 100 | 93 |
| 28°F | 154 | 147 | 142 | 137 | 134 | 130 | 126 | 119 | 111 |
| 24°F | 170 | 164 | 160 | 155 | 152 | 148 | 144 | 139 | 130 |
| 20°F | 183 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 162 | 157 | 152 | 147 |
| 16°F | 194 | 188 | 184 | 180 | 177 | 174 | 170 | 166 | 159 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 12,783
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 34
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 2,213
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 1,487
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 882
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 432
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 158
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 2,044 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,614 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,576 | 0 | 0 |
| April | 935 | 0 | 3 |
| May | 513 | 0 | 64 |
| June | 209 | 12 | 259 |
| July | 149 | 15 | 334 |
| August | 297 | 6 | 189 |
| September | 605 | 0 | 33 |
| October | 1,195 | 0 | 2 |
| November | 1,705 | 0 | 0 |
| December | 1,941 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2.8 km from Fort Greely. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00026415 (Big Delta AP). Public domain.