Ester Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Ester. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 24 and the first fall freeze around September 1, a growing season of about 98 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 4, first August 21
- Median at 32°F
- last May 24, first September 1
- Median at 28°F
- last May 13, first September 11
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 22 | Jun 14 | Jun 9 | Jun 6 | Jun 4 | Jun 2 | May 31 | May 29 | May 24 |
| 32°F | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 27 | May 24 | May 21 | May 18 | May 16 | May 12 |
| 28°F | May 27 | May 22 | May 18 | May 15 | May 13 | May 11 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 |
| 24°F | May 17 | May 12 | May 9 | May 7 | May 5 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 |
| 20°F | May 9 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 |
| 16°F | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 8 | Aug 13 | Aug 16 | Aug 19 | Aug 21 | Aug 24 | Aug 27 | Aug 29 | Sep 1 |
| 32°F | Aug 19 | Aug 24 | Aug 27 | Aug 29 | Sep 1 | Sep 2 | Sep 4 | Sep 7 | Sep 12 |
| 28°F | Aug 30 | Sep 2 | Sep 5 | Sep 8 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 |
| 24°F | Sep 8 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 |
| 20°F | Sep 16 | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Sep 30 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 13 |
| 16°F | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 93 | 88 | 84 | 80 | 77 | 73 | 68 | 63 | 55 |
| 32°F | 115 | 110 | 105 | 101 | 98 | 96 | 93 | 88 | 81 |
| 28°F | 136 | 131 | 126 | 122 | 119 | 116 | 112 | 108 | 103 |
| 24°F | 156 | 150 | 146 | 142 | 139 | 135 | 132 | 127 | 122 |
| 20°F | 173 | 167 | 163 | 159 | 155 | 152 | 148 | 144 | 138 |
| 16°F | 185 | 180 | 176 | 172 | 169 | 166 | 162 | 159 | 153 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 13,922
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 29
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 2,045
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 1,360
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 798
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 387
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 137
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 2,252 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,802 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,696 | 0 | 0 |
| April | 1,002 | 0 | 1 |
| May | 538 | 0 | 54 |
| June | 215 | 10 | 253 |
| July | 155 | 17 | 329 |
| August | 339 | 2 | 151 |
| September | 668 | 0 | 10 |
| October | 1,259 | 0 | 1 |
| November | 1,852 | 0 | 0 |
| December | 2,145 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.6 km from Ester. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00502870 (Ester). Public domain.