Cordova Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Cordova N. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 24 and the first fall freeze around October 19, a growing season of about 176 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 12, first October 3
- Median at 32°F
- last April 24, first October 19
- Median at 28°F
- last April 7, first October 30
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 31 | May 23 | May 18 | May 15 | May 12 | May 10 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 |
| 32°F | May 8 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 |
| 28°F | Apr 23 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 22 |
| 24°F | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 7 |
| 20°F | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 | Feb 22 | Feb 4 |
| 16°F | Mar 24 | Mar 14 | Mar 8 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 | Feb 15 | Feb 5 | Jan 27 | Jan 14 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 21 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 19 |
| 32°F | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 3 |
| 28°F | Oct 14 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 12 | Nov 20 |
| 24°F | Oct 23 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 | Dec 9 |
| 20°F | Nov 1 | Nov 7 | Nov 14 | Nov 21 | Nov 28 | Dec 4 | Dec 13 | Dec 26 | Jan 5 |
| 16°F | Nov 11 | Nov 27 | Dec 5 | Dec 22 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 | Jan 15 | Jan 28 | Feb 9 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 163 | 157 | 152 | 148 | 144 | 140 | 135 | 131 | 122 |
| 32°F | 197 | 190 | 185 | 181 | 176 | 172 | 167 | 163 | 154 |
| 28°F | 231 | 221 | 215 | 210 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 191 | 183 |
| 24°F | 262 | 251 | 243 | 236 | 230 | 222 | 217 | 210 | 202 |
| 20°F | 303 | 291 | 278 | 270 | 260 | 252 | 242 | 234 | 223 |
| 16°F | 354 | 333 | 323 | 311 | 303 | 296 | 287 | 277 | 260 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 94% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,170
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 0
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 2,074
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 1,193
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 549
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 149
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 16
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,026 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 902 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 977 | 0 | 0 |
| April | 759 | 0 | 1 |
| May | 572 | 0 | 16 |
| June | 374 | 0 | 93 |
| July | 262 | 0 | 204 |
| August | 279 | 0 | 187 |
| September | 449 | 0 | 47 |
| October | 713 | 0 | 3 |
| November | 885 | 0 | 0 |
| December | 973 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.5 km from Cordova. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00502173 (Cordova N). Public domain.