College Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for College Obsy. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 18 and the first fall freeze around September 6, a growing season of about 111 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 31, first August 26
- Median at 32°F
- last May 18, first September 6
- Median at 28°F
- last May 7, first September 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 16 | Jun 8 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 31 | May 28 | May 26 | May 21 | May 17 |
| 32°F | Jun 1 | May 28 | May 24 | May 21 | May 18 | May 15 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 |
| 28°F | May 22 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 7 | May 5 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 |
| 24°F | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 |
| 20°F | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 |
| 16°F | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 11 | Aug 16 | Aug 20 | Aug 23 | Aug 26 | Aug 29 | Sep 1 | Sep 3 | Sep 7 |
| 32°F | Aug 24 | Aug 29 | Sep 1 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 10 | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 |
| 28°F | Sep 5 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 |
| 24°F | Sep 15 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 |
| 20°F | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 |
| 16°F | Sep 30 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 105 | 99 | 94 | 90 | 87 | 84 | 79 | 74 | 65 |
| 32°F | 130 | 124 | 119 | 115 | 111 | 107 | 103 | 97 | 90 |
| 28°F | 152 | 145 | 141 | 137 | 133 | 129 | 125 | 120 | 114 |
| 24°F | 170 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 152 | 149 | 145 | 139 | 132 |
| 20°F | 184 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 167 | 163 | 160 | 154 | 148 |
| 16°F | 195 | 190 | 186 | 182 | 179 | 176 | 172 | 168 | 162 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 13,331
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 47
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 2,212
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 1,500
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 906
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 462
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 181
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 2,159 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,726 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,638 | 0 | 0 |
| April | 965 | 0 | 4 |
| May | 510 | 1 | 71 |
| June | 199 | 19 | 277 |
| July | 143 | 23 | 348 |
| August | 304 | 5 | 183 |
| September | 626 | 0 | 24 |
| October | 1,218 | 0 | 1 |
| November | 1,782 | 0 | 0 |
| December | 2,062 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2.2 km from College. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00502107 (College Obsy). Public domain.