Cohoe Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Soldotna 5SSW. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around June 11 and the first fall freeze around September 1, a growing season of about 75 days.
- Median at 32°F
- last June 11, first September 1
- Median at 28°F
- last May 23, first September 16
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Jul 7 | Jun 26 | Jun 20 | Jun 15 | Jun 11 | Jun 7 | Jun 2 | May 30 | May 26 |
| 28°F | Jun 6 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 16 | May 13 | May 9 |
| 24°F | May 21 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 |
| 20°F | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 |
| 16°F | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Aug 11 | Aug 18 | Aug 24 | Aug 28 | Sep 1 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 11 | Sep 18 |
| 28°F | Aug 28 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 11 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Oct 2 |
| 24°F | Sep 11 | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 18 |
| 20°F | Sep 25 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 27 |
| 16°F | Oct 2 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 66 | 57 | 50 | 45 | 40 | 35 | 31 | 26 | 21 |
| 32°F | 100 | 92 | 86 | 80 | 75 | 70 | 64 | 58 | 48 |
| 28°F | 135 | 129 | 123 | 118 | 113 | 109 | 104 | 98 | 88 |
| 24°F | 168 | 161 | 154 | 149 | 145 | 141 | 136 | 130 | 123 |
| 20°F | 193 | 185 | 181 | 176 | 172 | 168 | 162 | 157 | 150 |
| 16°F | 213 | 205 | 200 | 196 | 191 | 187 | 183 | 177 | 171 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 11,238
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 1,604
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 888
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 373
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 92
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 10
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,612 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,292 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,300 | 0 | 0 |
| April | 896 | 0 | 0 |
| May | 645 | 0 | 6 |
| June | 411 | 0 | 74 |
| July | 303 | 0 | 166 |
| August | 368 | 0 | 114 |
| September | 573 | 0 | 12 |
| October | 963 | 0 | 0 |
| November | 1,348 | 0 | 0 |
| December | 1,528 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 11 km from Cohoe. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00508615 (Soldotna 5SSW). Public domain.