Winfield Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Winfield 2 Sw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 4 and the first fall freeze around November 1, a growing season of about 211 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 16, first October 24
- Median at 32°F
- last April 4, first November 1
- Median at 28°F
- last March 20, first November 11
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 |
| 32°F | Apr 22 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 21 | Mar 14 |
| 28°F | Apr 9 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 6 | Feb 27 |
| 24°F | Mar 25 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 10 |
| 20°F | Mar 14 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 | Jan 23 |
| 16°F | Mar 3 | Feb 25 | Feb 15 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 30 | Jan 24 | Jan 17 | Jan 5 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 |
| 32°F | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 19 |
| 28°F | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
| 24°F | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 | Dec 21 |
| 20°F | Nov 19 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 20 | Dec 27 | Jan 2 | Jan 10 |
| 16°F | Dec 3 | Dec 13 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 10 | Jan 18 | Feb 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 213 | 206 | 200 | 195 | 190 | 185 | 180 | 175 | 169 |
| 32°F | 237 | 227 | 221 | 216 | 211 | 207 | 203 | 197 | 189 |
| 28°F | 264 | 255 | 249 | 244 | 239 | 234 | 228 | 222 | 213 |
| 24°F | 298 | 287 | 280 | 274 | 267 | 261 | 256 | 250 | 242 |
| 20°F | 334 | 321 | 312 | 305 | 299 | 291 | 285 | 277 | 264 |
| 16°F | 365 | 357 | 345 | 336 | 331 | 323 | 314 | 305 | 294 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 90% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,183
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,718
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,916
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,365
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,962
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,714
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,632
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 738 | 0 | 38 |
| February | 567 | 1 | 53 |
| March | 397 | 7 | 159 |
| April | 184 | 36 | 316 |
| May | 45 | 152 | 572 |
| June | 1 | 331 | 780 |
| July | 0 | 440 | 905 |
| August | 0 | 422 | 887 |
| September | 14 | 258 | 694 |
| October | 157 | 63 | 381 |
| November | 425 | 7 | 127 |
| December | 654 | 2 | 51 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.4 km from Winfield. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00018998 (Winfield 2 Sw). Public domain.