Town Creek Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Courtland 2 Wsw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 28 and the first fall freeze around November 3, a growing season of about 221 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 9, first October 25
- Median at 32°F
- last March 28, first November 3
- Median at 28°F
- last March 13, first November 14
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 |
| 32°F | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 8 |
| 28°F | Apr 2 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 |
| 24°F | Mar 21 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 5 |
| 20°F | Mar 7 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 16 |
| 16°F | Feb 26 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 | Feb 3 | Jan 30 | Jan 24 | Jan 18 | Jan 11 | Jan 2 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 32°F | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 |
| 28°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 | Dec 3 |
| 24°F | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 27 |
| 20°F | Nov 20 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 18 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 16 |
| 16°F | Dec 6 | Dec 18 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 9 | Jan 14 | Jan 21 | Feb 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 218 | 212 | 207 | 203 | 199 | 196 | 192 | 188 | 182 |
| 32°F | 246 | 237 | 231 | 226 | 221 | 216 | 211 | 206 | 199 |
| 28°F | 272 | 264 | 259 | 253 | 247 | 243 | 236 | 229 | 221 |
| 24°F | 307 | 296 | 288 | 280 | 273 | 268 | 262 | 254 | 247 |
| 20°F | 340 | 328 | 319 | 313 | 306 | 300 | 292 | 283 | 271 |
| 16°F | 365 | 361 | 351 | 343 | 335 | 329 | 322 | 314 | 303 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 84% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,208
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,684
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,870
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,324
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,915
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,671
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,593
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 744 | 0 | 40 |
| February | 566 | 2 | 58 |
| March | 397 | 7 | 157 |
| April | 176 | 38 | 323 |
| May | 42 | 158 | 581 |
| June | 0 | 330 | 780 |
| July | 0 | 448 | 913 |
| August | 0 | 411 | 876 |
| September | 15 | 233 | 669 |
| October | 167 | 53 | 360 |
| November | 447 | 4 | 105 |
| December | 655 | 1 | 54 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5.9 km from Town Creek. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00063868 (Courtland 2 Wsw). Public domain.