Thorsby Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Thorsby Exp Stn. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 21 and the first fall freeze around November 11, a growing season of about 235 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 5, first November 1
- Median at 32°F
- last March 21, first November 11
- Median at 28°F
- last March 7, first November 25
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 23 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 24 | Mar 17 |
| 32°F | Apr 10 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 | Feb 28 |
| 28°F | Mar 26 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 15 |
| 24°F | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 28 |
| 20°F | Mar 7 | Feb 27 | Feb 18 | Feb 10 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 27 | Jan 18 | Jan 7 |
| 16°F | Feb 23 | Feb 10 | Feb 2 | Jan 31 | Jan 24 | Jan 19 | Jan 13 | Jan 7 | Dec 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 |
| 32°F | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
| 28°F | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 21 |
| 24°F | Nov 17 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 16 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 10 |
| 20°F | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 15 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 8 | Jan 16 | Jan 30 |
| 16°F | Dec 13 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 13 | Jan 19 | Jan 26 | Feb 6 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 236 | 226 | 220 | 214 | 210 | 204 | 200 | 195 | 188 |
| 32°F | 263 | 252 | 246 | 241 | 235 | 230 | 225 | 218 | 209 |
| 28°F | 295 | 282 | 275 | 268 | 262 | 257 | 251 | 245 | 234 |
| 24°F | 329 | 317 | 308 | 301 | 293 | 287 | 279 | 271 | 260 |
| 20°F | 363 | 348 | 339 | 332 | 326 | 318 | 307 | 300 | 289 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 359 | 351 | 343 | 334 | 327 | 314 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 92% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 66% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,686
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,816
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,406
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,776
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,289
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,959
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,795
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 650 | 1 | 54 |
| February | 481 | 1 | 77 |
| March | 329 | 12 | 203 |
| April | 138 | 45 | 365 |
| May | 30 | 176 | 611 |
| June | 1 | 344 | 793 |
| July | 0 | 442 | 907 |
| August | 0 | 431 | 896 |
| September | 6 | 277 | 721 |
| October | 114 | 77 | 433 |
| November | 357 | 9 | 162 |
| December | 580 | 2 | 69 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4.3 km from Thorsby. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00018209 (Thorsby Exp Stn). Public domain.