Rock Mills Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Rock Mills. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 2 and the first fall freeze around November 3, a growing season of about 216 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 16, first October 24
- Median at 32°F
- last April 2, first November 3
- Median at 28°F
- last March 17, first November 14
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Mar 30 |
| 32°F | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 13 |
| 28°F | Apr 6 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 24 |
| 24°F | Mar 22 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 12 | Feb 2 |
| 20°F | Mar 10 | Mar 1 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 31 | Jan 24 | Jan 13 |
| 16°F | Feb 25 | Feb 11 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 28 | Jan 23 | Jan 17 | Jan 11 | Dec 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 |
| 32°F | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 19 |
| 28°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 |
| 24°F | Nov 11 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 | Dec 25 |
| 20°F | Nov 24 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 20 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 | Jan 18 |
| 16°F | Dec 6 | Dec 16 | Dec 25 | Dec 31 | Jan 3 | Jan 7 | Jan 13 | Jan 21 | Feb 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 213 | 205 | 200 | 196 | 191 | 187 | 182 | 177 | 171 |
| 32°F | 240 | 231 | 225 | 220 | 216 | 211 | 206 | 199 | 191 |
| 28°F | 272 | 263 | 257 | 251 | 245 | 239 | 232 | 226 | 216 |
| 24°F | 309 | 298 | 289 | 282 | 275 | 270 | 264 | 256 | 247 |
| 20°F | 342 | 333 | 325 | 317 | 310 | 304 | 295 | 287 | 273 |
| 16°F | 365 | 364 | 351 | 344 | 337 | 333 | 326 | 315 | 304 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 79% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,790
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,670
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,141
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,517
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,053
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,746
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,619
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 676 | 0 | 43 |
| February | 481 | 1 | 68 |
| March | 327 | 8 | 192 |
| April | 139 | 37 | 355 |
| May | 29 | 170 | 606 |
| June | 0 | 333 | 783 |
| July | 0 | 406 | 871 |
| August | 0 | 408 | 873 |
| September | 11 | 247 | 685 |
| October | 142 | 56 | 386 |
| November | 389 | 4 | 133 |
| December | 594 | 1 | 59 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.4 km from Rock Mills. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00017025 (Rock Mills). Public domain.