Point Clear Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Fairhope 2 Ne. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 10 and the first fall freeze around November 17, a growing season of about 253 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 28, first November 6
- Median at 32°F
- last March 10, first November 17
- Median at 28°F
- last February 26, first December 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 5 |
| 32°F | Mar 30 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 |
| 28°F | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 15 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 |
| 24°F | Mar 7 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 15 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 28 | Jan 19 | Jan 7 |
| 20°F | Feb 28 | Feb 13 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 27 | Jan 21 | Jan 15 | Jan 7 | Dec 29 |
| 16°F | Feb 12 | Feb 2 | Jan 30 | Jan 23 | Jan 18 | Jan 14 | Jan 8 | Jan 4 | Dec 29 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 |
| 32°F | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 6 |
| 28°F | Nov 11 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 20 | Jan 1 |
| 24°F | Nov 24 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 15 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 12 | Jan 21 |
| 20°F | Dec 7 | Dec 20 | Dec 28 | Jan 2 | Jan 6 | Jan 12 | Jan 18 | Jan 26 | Feb 4 |
| 16°F | Dec 21 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 7 | Jan 12 | Jan 16 | Jan 21 | Jan 28 | Feb 6 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 251 | 242 | 236 | 231 | 226 | 221 | 216 | 211 | 203 |
| 32°F | 278 | 269 | 262 | 258 | 253 | 248 | 241 | 235 | 227 |
| 28°F | 315 | 302 | 294 | 286 | 279 | 274 | 268 | 261 | 252 |
| 24°F | 350 | 338 | 330 | 323 | 314 | 307 | 300 | 291 | 279 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 364 | 354 | 345 | 335 | 329 | 320 | 306 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 351 | 334 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 95% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 69% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 33% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,887
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,223
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,513
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,786
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,165
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,686
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,363
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 494 | 4 | 112 |
| February | 355 | 7 | 141 |
| March | 217 | 26 | 295 |
| April | 79 | 76 | 448 |
| May | 8 | 246 | 702 |
| June | 0 | 403 | 853 |
| July | 0 | 476 | 941 |
| August | 0 | 467 | 932 |
| September | 1 | 345 | 793 |
| October | 62 | 136 | 541 |
| November | 249 | 27 | 259 |
| December | 422 | 10 | 148 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 8.9 km from Point Clear. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00012813 (Fairhope 2 Ne). Public domain.