Jack Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Troy 2 W. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 17 and the first fall freeze around November 16, a growing season of about 242 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 1, first November 4
- Median at 32°F
- last March 17, first November 16
- Median at 28°F
- last March 5, first November 29
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 18 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 13 |
| 32°F | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 | Feb 25 |
| 28°F | Mar 24 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 15 | Feb 2 |
| 24°F | Mar 14 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 8 | Feb 1 | Jan 25 | Jan 10 |
| 20°F | Mar 4 | Feb 22 | Feb 11 | Feb 3 | Jan 30 | Jan 23 | Jan 15 | Jan 4 | Dec 26 |
| 16°F | Feb 17 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 27 | Jan 21 | Jan 14 | Jan 9 | Jan 3 | Dec 26 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 |
| 32°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 4 |
| 28°F | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 18 | Jan 1 |
| 24°F | Nov 21 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 18 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 9 | Jan 23 |
| 20°F | Dec 4 | Dec 13 | Dec 23 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 9 | Jan 17 | Jan 26 | Feb 5 |
| 16°F | Dec 20 | Dec 31 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 12 | Jan 19 | Jan 26 | Feb 1 | Feb 9 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 244 | 234 | 228 | 223 | 219 | 214 | 209 | 203 | 196 |
| 32°F | 270 | 261 | 253 | 248 | 242 | 236 | 232 | 226 | 218 |
| 28°F | 306 | 294 | 285 | 279 | 272 | 266 | 260 | 252 | 245 |
| 24°F | 343 | 332 | 322 | 314 | 306 | 300 | 291 | 283 | 270 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 357 | 346 | 337 | 330 | 323 | 313 | 302 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 354 | 339 | 327 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 97% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 74% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 36% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,163
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,990
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,032
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,342
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,771
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,336
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,067
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 538 | 3 | 103 |
| February | 388 | 6 | 130 |
| March | 260 | 21 | 260 |
| April | 95 | 65 | 422 |
| May | 19 | 206 | 653 |
| June | 0 | 369 | 819 |
| July | 0 | 448 | 913 |
| August | 0 | 440 | 905 |
| September | 4 | 309 | 756 |
| October | 86 | 102 | 483 |
| November | 297 | 17 | 206 |
| December | 477 | 4 | 122 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 24 km from Jack. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00023801 (Troy 2 W). Public domain.