Fayette County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Fayette. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 20 and the first fall freeze around November 9, a growing season of about 234 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 4, first October 31
- Median at 32°F
- last March 20, first November 9
- Median at 28°F
- last March 5, first November 22
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 |
| 32°F | Apr 9 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 5 | Feb 27 |
| 28°F | Mar 24 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 8 |
| 24°F | Mar 14 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 12 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 21 |
| 20°F | Mar 4 | Feb 23 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 20 | Jan 11 | Dec 31 |
| 16°F | Feb 15 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 28 | Jan 22 | Jan 16 | Jan 11 | Jan 4 | Dec 25 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 13 |
| 32°F | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 30 |
| 28°F | Nov 4 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 16 |
| 24°F | Nov 14 | Nov 22 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 23 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 |
| 20°F | Nov 30 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 | Dec 24 | Dec 31 | Jan 4 | Jan 10 | Jan 17 | Jan 30 |
| 16°F | Dec 11 | Dec 22 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 11 | Jan 18 | Jan 25 | Feb 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 233 | 224 | 218 | 213 | 208 | 204 | 200 | 194 | 187 |
| 32°F | 261 | 251 | 245 | 239 | 234 | 228 | 223 | 216 | 207 |
| 28°F | 295 | 284 | 276 | 269 | 262 | 257 | 251 | 245 | 235 |
| 24°F | 332 | 319 | 309 | 302 | 295 | 288 | 283 | 272 | 262 |
| 20°F | 365 | 355 | 345 | 337 | 331 | 322 | 313 | 304 | 292 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 361 | 351 | 342 | 334 | 320 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 88% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 55% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,639
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,061
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,678
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,043
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,555
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,221
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,056
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 637 | 2 | 56 |
| February | 472 | 3 | 81 |
| March | 314 | 20 | 218 |
| April | 130 | 67 | 393 |
| May | 22 | 203 | 646 |
| June | 1 | 392 | 841 |
| July | 0 | 504 | 969 |
| August | 0 | 467 | 931 |
| September | 6 | 303 | 747 |
| October | 120 | 86 | 437 |
| November | 370 | 11 | 160 |
| December | 568 | 4 | 75 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 7.2 km from Fayette County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00012883 (Fayette). Public domain.