Dora Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Jasper. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 30 and the first fall freeze around November 4, a growing season of about 220 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 11, first October 25
- Median at 32°F
- last March 30, first November 4
- Median at 28°F
- last March 14, first November 15
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 29 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 |
| 32°F | Apr 16 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 10 |
| 28°F | Apr 3 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 |
| 24°F | Mar 19 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 15 | Feb 6 |
| 20°F | Mar 8 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Feb 2 | Jan 28 | Jan 16 |
| 16°F | Feb 28 | Feb 15 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 30 | Jan 23 | Jan 17 | Jan 9 | Dec 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 |
| 32°F | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 |
| 28°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 |
| 24°F | Nov 8 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 23 |
| 20°F | Nov 20 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 23 | Dec 30 | Jan 4 | Jan 13 |
| 16°F | Dec 4 | Dec 11 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 13 | Jan 20 | Jan 31 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 218 | 210 | 206 | 202 | 198 | 193 | 188 | 183 | 177 |
| 32°F | 244 | 237 | 230 | 225 | 220 | 216 | 210 | 205 | 197 |
| 28°F | 273 | 264 | 257 | 251 | 247 | 242 | 237 | 231 | 224 |
| 24°F | 306 | 296 | 288 | 281 | 275 | 268 | 262 | 254 | 248 |
| 20°F | 338 | 328 | 319 | 312 | 305 | 298 | 291 | 281 | 270 |
| 16°F | 365 | 359 | 348 | 340 | 334 | 328 | 321 | 311 | 299 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 84% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,134
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,759
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,987
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,433
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,028
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,775
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,683
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 735 | 1 | 36 |
| February | 565 | 1 | 49 |
| March | 388 | 8 | 164 |
| April | 170 | 39 | 332 |
| May | 39 | 160 | 586 |
| June | 1 | 331 | 780 |
| July | 0 | 456 | 921 |
| August | 0 | 437 | 902 |
| September | 11 | 260 | 699 |
| October | 154 | 58 | 380 |
| November | 417 | 8 | 133 |
| December | 654 | 1 | 49 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 28.5 km from Dora. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00014226 (Jasper). Public domain.