Alert archive / Texas / Hays County / Flash Flood Warnings

Flash Flood Warnings in Hays County, Texas, 2016

13 flash flood warnings in 2016. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of flash flood warnings reaches back to 1986.

Hays County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2016. Tap one for its archive.

Flash Flood Warnings
13
Busiest month
May4 flash flood warnings
Busiest day
May 27, 20163 flash flood warnings

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

13 of 13 flash flood warnings covering Hays County in 2016 had a flash flood report inside them; 7 of 7 flash flood reports fell inside a warning, on average 65 minutes after it went out.

Hays County, 2016

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Flash flood warnings13130%7100%65 min

Each office's whole area, 2016

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX: flash flood warnings978018%19084%110 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Mar 9, 1:43 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningEWX4 hr
Apr 18, 6:19 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWX3 hr
May 19, 10:13 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWX3 hr
May 26, 10:06 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWX3 hr
May 27, 1:00 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWX3 hr
May 27, 3:28 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWX11 hr
Jun 2, 4:02 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWX3 hr
Jun 2, 4:49 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWX5 hr
Jun 3, 10:38 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWX4 hr
Aug 16, 6:34 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWX3 hr
Aug 16, 2:56 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWX3 hr
Aug 20, 4:10 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWX3 hr
Sep 26, 11:52 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWX113 min

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20152017

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.