Alert archive / Montana / Toole County
Weather alerts in Toole County, Montana, 2021
64 weather alerts in 2021, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Toole County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2021. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 64
- Warnings
- 24
- Watches
- 8
- Advisories
- 1
- Busiest month
- July20 alerts
- Busiest day
- August 5, 20216 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
Toole County, 2021
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 9 | 4 | 56% | 2 | 100% | 18 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 0 | 0 |
Each office's whole area, 2021
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Great Falls, MT: tornado warnings | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1 | 0% | |
| NWS Great Falls, MT: severe thunderstorm warnings | 65 | 27 | 58% | 96 | 41% | 12 min |
| NWS Great Falls, MT: flash flood warnings | 1 | 0 | 100% | 4 | 0% |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 12:29 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 61 min |
| Mar 27, 2:37 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 41 hr |
| Mar 29, 6:14 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 61 min |
| Mar 29, 7:08 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 52 min |
| Mar 29, 8:02 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 43 min |
| Mar 29, 8:40 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 50 min |
| Mar 29, 9:26 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 49 min |
| Mar 30, 2:14 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 37 hr |
| Mar 31, 2:39 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 30 hr |
| Apr 8, 5:19 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 41 min |
| May 20, 6:29 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 31 min |
| Jun 9, 9:18 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 42 min |
| Jun 15, 10:37 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 68 min |
| Jul 5, 10:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 50 min |
| Jul 5, 10:49 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Jul 5, 11:12 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 63 min |
| Jul 6, 5:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 31 min |
| Jul 6, 5:45 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 30 min |
| Jul 6, 6:16 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 29 min |
| Jul 6, 6:57 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 33 min |
| Jul 11, 12:33 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 20 hr |
| Jul 11, 2:53 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 11, 3:03 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 42 min |
| Jul 11, 3:40 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 50 min |
| Jul 11, 4:18 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 27 min |
| Jul 20, 2:04 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 23 hr |
| Jul 20, 6:14 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 31 min |
| Jul 21, 1:26 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 56 hr |
| Jul 21, 4:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 45 min |
| Jul 21, 5:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 46 min |
| Jul 21, 8:37 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 38 min |
| Jul 31, 3:12 AM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 10 hr |
| Jul 31, 1:36 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 31 hr |
| Aug 2, 4:01 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 29 min |
| Aug 4, 4:09 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 51 min |
| Aug 4, 4:25 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 4, 4:53 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 37 min |
| Aug 4, 4:56 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 34 min |
| Aug 4, 5:50 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 40 min |
| Aug 4, 6:12 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 48 min |
| Aug 4, 6:31 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 44 min |
| Aug 4, 6:36 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 24 min |
| Aug 4, 6:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | 35 min |
| Aug 4, 8:47 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 43 min |
| Aug 4, 9:40 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 65 min |
| Aug 9, 3:47 AM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TFX | 3 hr |
| Aug 14, 3:39 AM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 11 hr |
| Aug 14, 2:40 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 54 hr |
| Aug 30, 7:19 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 26 min |
| Sep 4, 2:36 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 30 hr |
| Sep 5, 2:10 AM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 18 hr |
| Sep 5, 3:21 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 30 hr |
| Sep 7, 2:32 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 22 hr |
| Sep 8, 12:57 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 32 hr |
| Sep 12, 6:34 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 56 min |
| Sep 16, 2:18 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 55 hr |
| Oct 4, 9:14 AM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 35 hr |
| Oct 15, 1:23 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 25 hr |
| Oct 16, 2:37 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 27 hr |
| Nov 21, 2:41 AM MST | Fire Weather Watch | TFX | 8 hr |
| Nov 21, 10:35 AM MST | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 30 hr |
| Dec 1, 3:42 AM MST | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 17 hr |
| Dec 1, 10:24 PM MST | Red Flag Warning | TFX | 16 hr |
| Dec 26, 2:59 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TFX | 46 min |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 9 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 3 |
| Special Weather Statement | 28 |
| Flooding | |
| Areal Flood Advisory | 1 |
| Fire | |
| Red Flag Warning | 15 |
| Fire Weather Watch | 8 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20202022
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.