Alert archive / Montana / Toole County

Weather alerts in Toole County, Montana, 2021

64 weather alerts in 2021, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Toole County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2021. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
64
Warnings
24
Watches
8
Advisories
1
Busiest month
July20 alerts
Busiest day
August 5, 20216 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

Toole County, 2021

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings00
Severe thunderstorm warnings9456%2100%18 min
Flash flood warnings00

Each office's whole area, 2021

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Great Falls, MT: tornado warnings10100%10%
NWS Great Falls, MT: severe thunderstorm warnings652758%9641%12 min
NWS Great Falls, MT: flash flood warnings10100%40%

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 3, 12:29 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTFX61 min
Mar 27, 2:37 AM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX41 hr
Mar 29, 6:14 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX61 min
Mar 29, 7:08 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX52 min
Mar 29, 8:02 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX43 min
Mar 29, 8:40 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX50 min
Mar 29, 9:26 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX49 min
Mar 30, 2:14 PM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX37 hr
Mar 31, 2:39 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX30 hr
Apr 8, 5:19 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX41 min
May 20, 6:29 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX31 min
Jun 9, 9:18 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX42 min
Jun 15, 10:37 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX68 min
Jul 5, 10:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX50 min
Jul 5, 10:49 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC116 min
Jul 5, 11:12 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX63 min
Jul 6, 5:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX31 min
Jul 6, 5:45 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX30 min
Jul 6, 6:16 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX29 min
Jul 6, 6:57 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX33 min
Jul 11, 12:33 AM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX20 hr
Jul 11, 2:53 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 11, 3:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX42 min
Jul 11, 3:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX50 min
Jul 11, 4:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX27 min
Jul 20, 2:04 PM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX23 hr
Jul 20, 6:14 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX31 min
Jul 21, 1:26 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX56 hr
Jul 21, 4:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX45 min
Jul 21, 5:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX46 min
Jul 21, 8:37 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX38 min
Jul 31, 3:12 AM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX10 hr
Jul 31, 1:36 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX31 hr
Aug 2, 4:01 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX29 min
Aug 4, 4:09 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX51 min
Aug 4, 4:25 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 4, 4:53 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX37 min
Aug 4, 4:56 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX34 min
Aug 4, 5:50 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX40 min
Aug 4, 6:12 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX48 min
Aug 4, 6:31 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX44 min
Aug 4, 6:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX24 min
Aug 4, 6:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFX35 min
Aug 4, 8:47 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX43 min
Aug 4, 9:40 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX65 min
Aug 9, 3:47 AM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTFX3 hr
Aug 14, 3:39 AM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX11 hr
Aug 14, 2:40 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX54 hr
Aug 30, 7:19 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX26 min
Sep 4, 2:36 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX30 hr
Sep 5, 2:10 AM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX18 hr
Sep 5, 3:21 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX30 hr
Sep 7, 2:32 PM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX22 hr
Sep 8, 12:57 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX32 hr
Sep 12, 6:34 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementTFX56 min
Sep 16, 2:18 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX55 hr
Oct 4, 9:14 AM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX35 hr
Oct 15, 1:23 PM MDTFire Weather WatchTFX25 hr
Oct 16, 2:37 PM MDTRed Flag WarningTFX27 hr
Nov 21, 2:41 AM MSTFire Weather WatchTFX8 hr
Nov 21, 10:35 AM MSTRed Flag WarningTFX30 hr
Dec 1, 3:42 AM MSTRed Flag WarningTFX17 hr
Dec 1, 10:24 PM MSTRed Flag WarningTFX16 hr
Dec 26, 2:59 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementTFX46 min

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20202022

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.