Alert archive / Kentucky / Casey County

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Casey County, Kentucky

410 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Casey County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
410
Busiest year
201528 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year
10over 40 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 62% of hail, wind and damage reports in Casey County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 16 minutes before, and 40% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
20087529%475%19 min
200916944%4100%12 min
2010231343%5100%16 min
2011271641%1070%15 min
2012221341%1242%15 min
2013201430%5100%29 min
201414843%475%10 min
2015281643%475%23 min
2016221245%956%8 min
2017201145%250%26 min
2018251252%1346%20 min
20194250%333%4 min
20208538%922%12 min
20217443%450%19 min
202215753%683%16 min
202311827%1354%12 min
2024131023%683%16 min
2025201620%1267%15 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 10, 4:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK26 min
Sep 4, 4:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK21 min
Aug 11, 7:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK20 min
Jul 21, 5:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK18 min
Jul 21, 5:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK40 min
Apr 28, 3:10 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK35 min
Mar 16, 1:29 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK46 min
Mar 16, 1:13 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLMK47 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.