Wind Advisory 2, NWS Springfield, MO

403 
WWUS73 KSGF 161015
NPWSGF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Springfield MO
515 AM CDT Sat May 16 2026

KSZ101-MOZ088-093-094-101-102-161115-
/O.CAN.KSGF.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-260516T1200Z/
Cherokee-Jasper-Newton-Lawrence-McDonald-Barry-
Including the cities of South West City, Joplin, Riverton,
Monett, Aurora, Neutral, Neosho, Noel, Anderson, Goodman, Mount
Vernon, Sherwin, Columbus, Cassville, Baxter Springs, Madry,
Carthage, Stippville, Pineville, Lowell, Rocky Comfort, and
Marionville
515 AM CDT Sat May 16 2026

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Wind gusts remain below advisory criteria at this time.

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service, visit 
http://weather.gov/sgf

RN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1242 AM CDT Sat May 16 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Summer like temperatures with highs in the 80s and low in the
  60s to around 70 through the weekend.

- Scattered thunderstorms late tonight through Saturday with
  highest probabilities (50-65%) over central Missouri.

- More widespread rain chances will develop over the area by
  late Monday into Tuesday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 102 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

Water vapor imagery and upper level analysis show a fairly zonal
flow across much of the CONUS with strongest jet energy from the
Pacific northwest into the upper Great Lakes. Some embedded
upper energy associated with a subtropical jet streak was
located from the southern plains into the mid Mississippi valley
and was aiding in developing some scattered showers and a few
embedded thunderstorms over the area. There is some elevated
instability, however we have a very strong cap in place over the
region. At the surface, a warm front continues to track east
across the forecast area. Temperatures have crept into the low
80s where some breaks in the clouds have occurred but have held
in the mid to upper 70s over the western portions of the CWA.
Dew points have risen into the upper 50s to mid 60s.

Rest of the Afternoon into Saturday: Will continue with
scattered showers and a few embedded thunderstorms through the
afternoon. More robust convection will develop along a frontal
boundary to our north and west and increase in intensity as the
low level jet strengthens tonight. CAMS develop a thunderstorm
complex over northern MO and track it southeast late tonight
into our northern CWA. Energy from the southwestern upper
shortwave will also continue to track into the area late tonight
into Saturday. We've increased pops especially in the north on
Saturday especially in the morning to account for the remnant
MCS activity and any additional development during the day with
the shortwave energy. Most of the convection should exit the
area by 00z. We are expecting mainly general thunderstorms with
the main severe weather risk remaining to our north. Storms late
tonight into early Saturday morning in central MO may still pose
a wind risk up to 60 mph.

The clouds and rain chances will keep temperatures slightly
cooler and have dropped highs slightly from previous forecasts.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 102 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

We are generally expecting Saturday night and Sunday to be dry
over the area as the upper trough out west deepens and the
surface front remains to our north. Main convection should
develop to our west and north Sunday afternoon and evening,
possibly affecting our far western CWA late Sunday night with
some convection. Winds will become quite gusty Sunday into
Monday with ensemble probabilistic data showing nearly 100%
chance of winds gusting over 30 mph both days.

The western CWA will have the best chances of strong to severe
thunderstorms on Monday with the front setting up over southwest
KS into northwest MO during the day, but then shifting southeast
into the area Monday night and Tuesday which will bring the
severe risk over most of the area during the day Tuesday. PW
values increase on Monday and Tuesday to above the 90th
percentile in the 1.4" to 1.5" range. We are also expecting
storms to bring heavy rain with the potential of localized
flooding.

The main upper wave will not arrive until Wednesday night into
Thursday which should then push all rain chances to the south
and east of the area.

For temperatures, we will flirt with some record warmest lows
Sunday into Tuesday and also record highs Sunday into Monday
across the area. See climate section for the current records in
these categories.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1225 AM CDT Sat May 16 2026

LLWS is a concern again tonight and tomorrow night with the
low-level jet in such close proximity. Southerly winds sustained
at 15-20 kts will gust up to 30 kts at JLN today and up to 25
kts for the rest of the area. Thunderstorms are expected across
central Missouri this morning, but expect minimal impacts to the
TAF sites. Scattered ceilings around 20 kft tonight, lowering to
10-15 kft for a few hours after 12Z at SGF and east as
thunderstorms pass by, then becoming SKC after 18Z.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 132 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026

Record High Temperatures:

May 15:
KSGF: 87/1957
KJLN: 89/1911
KUNO: 87/1957

May 16:
KJLN: 89/2001

May 17:
KSGF: 88/2001
KJLN: 89/2001
KVIH: 92/1996
KUNO: 89/1980

May 18:
KSGF: 88/1962
KJLN: 90/1987
KVIH: 88/1996
KUNO: 89/2001

Record Warmest Low Temperatures:

May 15:
KSGF: 67/1941
KJLN: 72/1941
KUNO: 55/1998
KVIH: 65/2023

May 16:0
KSGF: 69/2015
KJLN: 73/1974
KUNO: 67/2015
KVIH: 70/1899

May 17:
KSGF: 69/1974
KJLN: 75/1974
KUNO: 68/2017
KVIH: 68/2017

May 18:
KSGF: 68/1996
KJLN: 74/1996
KUNO: 66/2017
KVIH: 70/1996

May 19:
KSGF: 69/2013
KJLN: 74/1996
KUNO: 70/1996
KVIH: 70/1996

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.

&&

SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Nelson
CLIMATE...Lindenberg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
743 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-170045-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
743 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Marginal thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

Storms are expected to move into the area late tonight. The
strongest storms will be across central Missouri with the main
hazard being damaging wind gusts. Additional scattered storms
will continue through the day on Saturday.

Some winds will continue to gust this afternoon and tonight up to
30 mph. This may occur under brief decaying storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

While a dry period will be possible Saturday night into Sunday,
strong to severe storms will again be possible late Sunday night
into Tuesday as a front gradually shifts into and through the
area. Heavy rain will accompany the storms which may bring some
localized flooding to the area.

Gusty winds over 30 mph will be possible on Sunday and Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Hatch

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1130 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

KSZ101-MOZ088-093-101-160500-
Cherokee KS-Jasper MO-Newton MO-McDonald MO-
1130 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN CHEROKEE...NEWTON...
MCDONALD AND SOUTHERN JASPER COUNTIES THROUGH MIDNIGHT CDT...

At 1130 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms over Bernice State Park, or 15 miles south of Miami,
moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Joplin, Carthage, Neosho, Webb City, Big Sugar Creek State Park, Carl
Junction, Baxter Springs, Columbus, Galena, Seneca, Granby, Anderson,
Carterville, Noel, Duquesne, Dodge, Sarcoxie, Goodman, Duenweg, and
South West City.

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 0 and 32.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3650 9462 3700 9462 3700 9506 3718 9507
      3717 9406 3650 9407
TIME...MOT...LOC 0430Z 255DEG 24KT 3665 9487

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Nelson

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1159 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1151 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Shoal Creek Drive       37.04N 94.52W
05/15/2026  M54 MPH          Newton             MO   Dept of Highways

&&

REN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1207 AM CDT Sat May 16 2026

KSZ101-MOZ088-093-101-160530-
Cherokee KS-Jasper MO-Newton MO-McDonald MO-
1207 AM CDT Sat May 16 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT CHEROKEE...NEWTON...MCDONALD AND
SOUTHERN JASPER COUNTIES THROUGH 1230 AM CDT...

At 1206 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms near Seneca, or 13 miles east of Miami, moving
northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Joplin, Carthage, Neosho, Webb City, Big Sugar Creek State Park, Carl
Junction, Baxter Springs, Columbus, Galena, Oronogo, Seneca, Granby,
Anderson, Carterville, Noel, Duquesne, Dodge, Sarcoxie, Goodman, and
Duenweg.

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 0 and 32.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3650 9462 3700 9462 3700 9507 3721 9508
      3721 9507 3720 9406 3650 9407
TIME...MOT...LOC 0506Z 239DEG 30KT 3680 9466

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Nelson

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1230 AM CDT Sat May 16 2026

KSZ101-MOZ088-093-160600-
Cherokee KS-Jasper MO-Newton MO-
1230 AM CDT Sat May 16 2026

...GUSTY SHOWERS WILL IMPACT CHEROKEE...NEWTON AND SOUTHERN JASPER
COUNTIES THROUGH 100 AM CDT...

At 1229 AM CDT, weather stations recorded gusty showers near Neosho,
moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Weather Station.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Joplin, Carthage, Neosho, Webb City, Carl Junction, Baxter Springs,
Columbus, Galena, Oronogo, Seneca, Granby, Carterville, Duquesne,
Sarcoxie, Duenweg, Diamond, Loma Linda, Airport Drive, Leawood, and
Lowell.

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 0 and 31.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3721 9508 3720 9406 3685 9407 3685 9462
      3700 9462 3700 9507
TIME...MOT...LOC 0529Z 241DEG 33KT 3690 9442

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Nelson

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1251 AM CDT Sat May 16 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1235 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 2 S Lowell              37.02N 94.70W
05/16/2026  M49 MPH          Cherokee           KS   Dept of Highways

&&

REN