Tornado Warning 64, NWS Springfield, MO

818 
WWUS53 KSGF 170201
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
901 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

KSC021-170230-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0064.000000T0000Z-260617T0230Z/
Cherokee KS-
901 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN CHEROKEE COUNTY...

At 901 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Galena, or 8 miles north of Baxter Springs, moving
southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Galena, Riverton, and Crestline.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3713 9479 3718 9480 3721 9475 3715 9462
      3704 9462 3707 9474
TIME...MOT...LOC 0201Z 315DEG 11KT 3713 9468 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

Soria

009 
WWUS53 KSGF 170205
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
905 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

KSC021-170230-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0064.000000T0000Z-260617T0230Z/
Cherokee KS-
905 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN CHEROKEE COUNTY...

At 905 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Galena, or 7 miles northeast of Baxter Springs,
moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Galena, Riverton, and Crestline.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3714 9477 3718 9477 3720 9473 3715 9462
      3704 9462 3707 9474
TIME...MOT...LOC 0205Z 315DEG 11KT 3712 9467 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

Soria

891 
WWUS53 KSGF 170216
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
916 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

KSC021-170230-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0064.000000T0000Z-260617T0230Z/
Cherokee KS-
916 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT FOR EAST
CENTRAL CHEROKEE COUNTY...

At 915 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Galena, or 7 miles northeast of Baxter Springs,
moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Galena and Crestline.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3716 9475 3719 9471 3715 9462 3704 9462
      3709 9472
TIME...MOT...LOC 0215Z 315DEG 11KT 3710 9464 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

Soria

047 
WWUS53 KSGF 170219
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
919 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

KSC021-170228-
/O.CAN.KSGF.TO.W.0064.000000T0000Z-260617T0230Z/
Cherokee KS-
919 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL CHEROKEE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

&&

LAT...LON 3716 9475 3719 9471 3715 9462 3704 9462
      3709 9472
TIME...MOT...LOC 0213Z 315DEG 11KT 3709 9463 

$$

Soria

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
553 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Marginal (1 of 5) Severe Risk for isolated severe
  thunderstorms over southeast Kansas and southwest Missouri
  this evening. Primary hazards are hail to the size of golf
  balls and 60 mph wind gusts.

- Gusty southerly winds of 35-45 mph on Wednesday.

- Enhanced (3 of 5) Severe Risk for severe thunderstorms late
  Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night with all hazards
  possible. Primary hazards are tennis ball size hail, 70-80 mph
  winds, and a few tornadoes. The greatest risk is across
  central MO. Localized heavy rainfall may support flash
  flooding.

- Marginal (1 of 5) Severe Risk for severe thunderstorms on
  Thursday into early Thursday night, mainly along and south of
  I-44. Large hail to the size of golf balls, damaging winds up
  to 60 mph, and flash flooding are possible.

- Thunderstorm chances return this weekend into early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 300 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

This Afternoon-Tonight:
Radar depicts a few showers and highly isolated thunderstorms
pushing into southern MO early this afternoon, with most
locations remaining dry further north. Any thunderstorms with
this activity are expected to remain non-severe. The attention
then turns to better moisture advecting northeast out of the Red
River Valley into southeast KS and southwest MO by this evening.
This can be gleaned from dewpoints reaching into the upper 60s
to near 70. Meanwhile, SBCAPE pushes towards 1500-2000 J/kg in
the vicinity of unidirectional deep layer shear of 40-50 knots.
This setup may be supportive of a few isolated thunderstorms
(40-60% chances), potentially supercellular in nature. Forcing
remains the limiting factor, and as a result gives us reduced
confidence in the extent of development and coverage.
Nonetheless, if isolated thunderstorms are able to develop the
environment will support a strong to severe thunderstorm or two.
Primary hazards are large up to golf balls and damaging wind
gusts up to 60 mph. Thunderstorm splits may support a left-
mover, further supporting large hail potential. This potential
is captured with the latest SPC Marginal (1 of 5) Severe Risk
across portions of the area. Most locations remain dry outside
of southeast KS into far southwest MO, generally west of Highway
65 and south of Highway 54 towards the Interstate 49 corridor.

Overnight lows fall into the 60s areawide, with changes on
horizon ahead of the next system taking shape into Wednesday
with a frontal passage.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 300 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

Wednesday:
A shortwave trough is expected translate through the Plains into
the Mississippi Valley on Wednesday, with an associated low
pressure system expected to develop into eastern NE and IA. A
tight pressure gradient will develop in the response to the
deepening low pressure system, supporting strong southerly winds
around 35 to 45 mph in response to sufficient mixing.
Confidence is low in exceeding 45 mph wind gusts, with
probabilities around 20-40%. For this reason, wind headlines are
not expected at this time.

As we progress into the afternoon, strong warm air advection
will support dewpoints into the lower/middle 70s as
temperatures reach into the upper 80s to near 90. This will
result in a rather hot and humid afternoon across the area ahead
of an approaching cold front late Wednesday afternoon into the
evening. Latest guidance remains on track with the previous
forecast, suggesting the most favorable environment for strong
to severe thunderstorms will be along and north of Interstate
44, especially into central MO. This is captured with the latest
SPC Slight (2 of 5) to Enhanced (3 of 5) Severe Risk. This
environment will be characterized by ample instability (MUCAPE
3000+ J/kg) in the vicinity of 50-60 knot deep layer shear.
Expect supercells to develop along the SW to NE oriented front
by late afternoon and slide through the area in the
evening/night. All hazards remains in play, particularly north
of Interstate 44 towards the Highway 54 corridor. Large hail
environment is supported by steep mid-level lapse rates
(7.5-8.0 C/km) and ample instability through the hail growth
zone as seen in latest forecast soundings. Large Hail Parameter
around 12 to 16 in this area suggest hail size to push towards
tennis to baseball, especially if cells are able to remain more
discrete in nature. Meanwhile, severe damaging winds could
occur within these thunderstorms as theta-E differences approach
25 to 30 K with DCAPE around 1500-2000 J/kg. There is still
some remaining uncertainty if supercells grow upscale into a
line and/or bowing segments, and thus the extent of the damaging
wind gusts. Nonetheless, damaging wind gusts of 70-80 mph
remain plausible. As for tornadoes, strong low-level shear will
be present, and rather unidirectional in nature. Expect
sufficient ingestion of streamwise vorticity with supercell
structures as a result, which could support a few tornadoes.
This tornadic environment will be present in central MO, and
diminish further south as the low-level becomes less favorable.
Large scale assent becomes weaker into the evening, and thus the
severe potential and thunderstorm coverage decreases further
south towards the Interstate 44 and south. This well captured in
the latest trends of CAMs.

An additional concern with the system moving through on
Wednesday will be localized heavy rainfall. Efficient rainfall
rates are forecast given PWATs of 1.7-2.1 inches. The
antecedent conditions in place (saturated soils and elevated
streamflows) will support flash flooding in areas where training
of thunderstorms occur. WPC depicts this potential with a
Slight (2 of 4) Excessive Rainfall Outlook. Additional flash
flooding will become more of a concern into Thursday as post-
frontal showers and thunderstorms persist across southern MO as
the front stalls into northern AR.

Thursday:
With the frontal slowly meandering through southern MO into
Thursday morning before stalling into northern AR, scattered
showers and thunderstorms are expected to redevelop. Strong warm
air advection persists, with ample instability and shear to
support a few isolated strong to severe thunderstorms. SPC
Marginal (1 of 5) Severe Risk exists along and south of
Interstate 44 on Thursday. Additionally, a a Slight (2 of 4)
Excessive Rainfall Outlook is stationed across the same area.
Likewise to Wednesday evening/night's threat, antecedent
conditions remain favorable to support localized flash flooding.
The extent of precipitation coverage north of Interstate 44
remains minimal on Thursday. Overall, cooler on Thursday in the
upper 70s to lower 80s.

This Weekend-Early Next Week:
As we turn the page into Friday, a break in the active pattern
is expected with a drier forecast. Highs in the lower 80s. This
break in the pattern appears to be short-lived as a series of
shortwaves are progged to move through northwest flow with a
ridge south of the region. This pattern is indicative of MCSs,
bringing additional rain chances through the weekend. Associated
severe and/or flooding may accompany each system's passage this
weekend. This will need be monitored closely given the saturated
soils and elevated streamflows, especially across the western
half of the area.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 555 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

Scattered mid to high levels clouds continue to move through the
area this evening. Low chances (PROB30 group) for an isolated
shower or thunderstorm this evening at the TAF sites. Confidence
remains lower on the extent of coverage. Otherwise, winds out of
south overnight at 5 to 10 knots, before strong south-southwest
winds overspread the area on Wednesday morning. Expect sustained
winds at 15 to 20 knots, with wind gusts of 25 to 35 knots.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.

&&

SHORT TERM...Perez
LONG TERM...Perez
AVIATION...Perez

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
340 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-172045-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
340 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Marginal hail risk.
  Marginal thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

Marginal (1 of 5) Severe Risk for isolated severe thunderstorms
over southeast Kansas and southwest Missouri this evening. Primary
hazards are hail to the size of golf balls and 60 mph wind gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

 Gusty southerly winds of 35-45 mph on Wednesday.

Enhanced (3 of 5) Severe Risk for severe thunderstorms late
Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night with all hazards
possible. Primary hazards are tennis ball size hail, 70-80 mph
winds, and a few tornadoes. The greatest risk is across central
MO. Localized heavy rainfall may support flash flooding.

Marginal (1 of 5) Severe Risk for severe thunderstorms on
Thursday into early Thursday night, mainly along and south of
I-44. Large hail to the size of golf balls, damaging winds up to
60 mph, and flash flooding are possible.

Thunderstorm chances return this weekend into early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this evening across southeast
Kansas and southwest Missouri.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Perez

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
804 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

KSZ101-MOZ088-170130-
Cherokee KS-Jasper MO-
804 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EASTERN CHEROKEE AND
SOUTHWESTERN JASPER COUNTIES THROUGH 830 PM CDT...

At 804 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Scammon, or 7 miles north of Columbus, moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Joplin, Carthage, Webb City, Carl Junction, Baxter Springs, Columbus,
Galena, Oronogo, Carterville, Duquesne, Cherokee, Airport Drive,
Weir, Lowell, Scammon, Asbury, West Mineral, Brooklyn Heights, Waco,
and Roseland.

This includes Interstate 44 near mile marker 0.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3734 9487 3734 9463 3715 9429 3705 9451
      3706 9461 3700 9462 3700 9471 3726 9496
TIME...MOT...LOC 0104Z 316DEG 11KT 3728 9485

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Soria