Severe Thunderstorm Warning 48, NWS Twin Cities, MN

884 
WWUS53 KMPX 240000
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
700 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

MNC047-147-240030-
/O.CON.KMPX.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-260424T0030Z/
Freeborn MN-Steele MN-
700 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN FREEBORN AND SOUTHEASTERN STEELE COUNTIES...

At 700 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Geneva, or 13
miles northeast of Albert Lea, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
  Clarks Grove, Hollandale, Geneva, Ellendale, Steele Center,
  Blooming Prairie and Bixby.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter inside a well-built structure and stay away from
windows. This storm is capable of producing damaging winds and large
hail.

&&

LAT...LON 4385 9332 4406 9306 4406 9305 4368 9305
      4362 9317 4379 9340
TIME...MOT...LOC 2346Z 214DEG 31KT 4373 9333

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

BPH

238 
WWUS53 KMPX 240023
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
723 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

MNC047-147-240033-
/O.EXP.KMPX.SV.W.0048.000000T0000Z-260424T0030Z/
Freeborn MN-Steele MN-
723 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 730 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN FREEBORN AND SOUTHEASTERN STEELE COUNTIES...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire. However, small hail and gusty winds are still
possible with this thunderstorm.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CDT for a
portion of south central Minnesota.

&&

LAT...LON 4385 9332 4406 9306 4406 9305 4368 9305
      4362 9317 4379 9340
TIME...MOT...LOC 0000Z 215DEG 31KT 4383 9323

$$

BPH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
635 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Strong to severe storms are possible from this afternoon
  through the evening as a cold front sweeps through. Wind is
  the primary threat, with lower chances for both hail and a
  tornado or two.

- Elevated fire weather conditions expected for western
  Minnesota tomorrow due to low humidity.

- Quiet weather to start the weekend, followed by a cool spring
  rain system arriving Sunday through Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 122 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

Today's Severe Weather Threat...

Our shield of cloud cover has yet to even begin to erode over
eastern Minnesota with the leading edge of the approaching cold
front evident on the western side as bubbling cumulus hovers near
the western edge of cloud cover ahead of the front. This is the area
to monitor over the next couple hours as we anticipate convective
initiation to occur in multicell clusters over the next couple
hours. The lack of clearing ahead of the front could result in a
scenario where a bit of differential heating leads to a slightly
stronger pulse of convection along the western edge of the cloud
cover, already evident by billowing anvil clouds stemming from
eastern Nebraska. As the multicellular clusters form, storm strength
will be varied based on location and proximity to other cells as
they compete for the same environment, with continues to look less
than ideal overall. Recent ACARS soundings from aircraft flying into
MSP airport show a solid 150-175 J/KG of CIN over the metro thanks
to the cloud cover, with MUCAPE only around 500 J/KG with a long
'skinny' profile of CAPE above the cap. The shear profile is also
somewhat lackluster with the only directional veering below 900mb
with unidirectional shear aloft, resulting in a flat uni-directional
shear profile that from a conceptual model standpoint would favor
multicells into upscale linear growth as opposed to stronger
individual cells or supercells. Going through all the potential
threats, the tornado threat is isolated to storm boundary
interactions with the first clusters of storms that pop up, with any
that do manage to spin up looking to shear out quickly and remain on
the weaker side. A secondary tornado risk will exist into the
evening as the linear convective mode could have a few localized
notches promoting a brief circulation, but once again on the weaker
side with the lack of shear keeping us from seeing longer track
stronger storms. Lapse rates are rather poor on the order of 5
degrees per km from 0-3km improving to 8 degree per km from 3-6km,
meaning elevated hail is possible but generally a more isolated and
lower end threat. Wind is expected to be the primary risk associated
with our convection today especially as the initial storms form into
a line ahead of the cold front into the late afternoon through the
evening, with linear convective mode promoted by the unidirectional
shear and persistent boundary moving across the area. Lastly, there
is an isolated localized flooding threat mainly in western WI where
PWATS are a bit higher and the potential for lingering storms later
into the evening are present, however widespread or more impactful
flooding is not currently expected.

Fire Weather...

Behind the western edge of the initial convection, we maintain much
lower relative humidity due to not only warmer temperatures but also
much lower dew points across western Minnesota. This coupled with
the gusty winds stemming from the pressure gradient of the nearby
low pressure system has resulted in sporadic Red Flag conditions
this afternoon which look to diminish after 7pm as temperatures fall
behind the cold front. A simple comparison of Madison MN in Lac Qui
Parle County which is currently sitting at 75 over a 45 degree dew
point compared to Buffalo MN in Wright County at 68 degrees over 60
degree dew points shows the stark difference in moisture content
over just half the state. With the vast majority of precipitation
remaining too far east to accumulate much, another day of fire
weather is possible tomorrow over the same region of western
Minnesota as RH once again bottoms out into the 20s thanks to
dropping dew points behind the cold front. The main difference
between tomorrow and today is the lack of significant wind tomorrow,
meaning conditions will be elevated but not quite the Red Flag
conditions that are being observed today. Regardless, anyone
planning on burning tomorrow should keep an eye on the local
conditions especially earlier in the day when winds are a bit
stronger.

Sunday and beyond...

Another surface low looks to move east-northeast from Colorado to
the central plains by Sunday morning, giving us our next chance for
active weather across the region. Moisture and warm air will advect
northwards ahead of the incoming surface low, however the lack of
upper level reinforcement will result in an overall weaker system
which has a lower chance for severe weather. Instead, our region
looks to be located on the northern side of the surface low
resulting in a cooler showery soaking rain beginning Sunday and
lasting through most of Monday until the surface low pushes out of
the area into Tuesday. While today's convection looks to be
significantly more spotty in terms of QPF coverage, the long
duration relatively sustained rainfall through Monday should result
in more of the area seeing higher overall amounts on the order of an
inch to inch and a half across much of the MPX CWA from Sunday
evening through Tuesday morning. This includes the areas of western
Minnesota that have largely been missed by the significant rainfall
so far this season, however the highest amounts are still expected a
bit farther east spanning northern Wisconsin to central Iowa. After
precipitation wraps up Tuesday morning, we look to enter a
relatively quiet stretch of weather as an eastern CONUS trough and
PAC NW ridge suppress the southern stream jet farther south, keeping
any potential systems from making it far enough north to give us any
chance at severe weather. This is likely a welcome break for areas
of the Great Lakes which have seen significant rainfall and
flooding, however areas of western Minnesota may still be asking for
more rainfall once we head into May.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 635 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

TS activity has trended down, but showers are expanding
northeast into eastern MN, eventually reaching WI. These showers
should persist through much of the evening east of I-35.
Conditions will be mostly VFR, although some MVFR cigs and vsbys
are possible in the steadier showers. Activity will end from
west to east late this evening and overnight. A cold front will
push east this evening, resulting in a wind shift to the west
northwest with gusts 25-30 kts across western MN.

KMSP...TS are weakening to the south, but showers are expanding
north toward the terminal. Occasional light rain is possible
through mid evening.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
SAT...VFR. Wind W 5-10 kts becoming S.
SUN...VFR, chc PM MVFR/-SHRA. Wind E 5-10kts.
MON...MVFR/RA likely, chc TSRA. Wind E 10-15G25kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...Red Flag Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for Chippewa-
     Douglas-Kandiyohi-Lac Qui Parle-Pope-Redwood-Renville-
     Stevens-Swift-Yellow Medicine.
WI...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...TDH
AVIATION...Borghoff

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
202 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
241915-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
202 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota, and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and
evening, favoring southern and eastern Minnesota and western
Wisconsin. The primary threat is wind, with secondary threats
being hail/tornado.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Near critical fire weather conditions are possible Friday
afternoon over west central through southwest Minnesota.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation will likely be needed.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
423 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0407 PM     Hail             2 W Becker              45.39N 93.92W
04/23/2026  M0.75 Inch       Sherburne          MN   Trained Spotter

&&

RMD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
432 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

MNZ044-050>052-059-232215-
Isanti MN-Benton MN-Wright MN-Sherburne MN-Mille Lacs MN-
432 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL ISANTI...
SOUTHWESTERN MILLE LACS...SOUTHEASTERN BENTON...SHERBURNE AND NORTH
CENTRAL WRIGHT COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...

At 432 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Becker, or 11 miles north of Buffalo, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Lake Maria State Park, Silver Creek, Hasty, Enfield, Monticello,
  Becker, Big Lake, Orrock, Sherburne National Wildlife Refuge,
  Santiago, Zimmerman, Glendorado, Princeton Airport, Ronneby, Oak
  Park, Princeton, Spencer Brook, Pease and Foreston.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

&&

LAT...LON 4540 9399 4578 9383 4563 9330 4521 9383
      4536 9401
TIME...MOT...LOC 2132Z 215DEG 36KT 4535 9388

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

CTG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
503 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

MNZ045-052-053-232300-
Isanti MN-Kanabec MN-Chisago MN-
503 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT ISANTI...KANABEC AND
NORTHWESTERN CHISAGO COUNTIES UNTIL 6 PM CDT...

At 503 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles southwest of Brunswick, or 12 miles northwest of Cambridge,
moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Cambridge Airport, Cambridge, Dalbo, Grandy, Lewis Lake,
  Stanchfield, Ogilvie, Harris, Brunswick, Mora, Rush City, Grasston,
  Rush City Airport, Mora Airport, Quamba, Knife Lake, Snake River
  State Forest and Chengwatana State Forest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

&&

LAT...LON 4616 9321 4616 9305 4598 9306 4598 9314
      4573 9314 4573 9285 4572 9285 4572 9287
      4564 9289 4547 9334 4559 9351 4572 9351
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 214DEG 42KT 4570 9334

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

CTG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
600 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

MNZ084-085-092-093-240000-
Steele MN-Waseca MN-Freeborn MN-Faribault MN-
600 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT FARIBAULT...NORTHWESTERN
FREEBORN...SOUTHERN WASECA AND SOUTHWESTERN STEELE COUNTIES UNTIL 7
PM CDT...

At 600 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Elmore, or 24 miles east of Fairmont, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Elmore, Frost, Bricelyn, Kiester, Brush Creek, Mansfield, Easton,
  Wells, Conger, Alden, Minnesota Lake, Freeborn, Albert Lea,
  Waldorf, Hartland, New Richland, Otisco, Clarks Grove, Geneva and
  Hollandale.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

&&

LAT...LON 4350 9419 4385 9386 4385 9377 4394 9377
      4399 9372 4378 9306 4350 9364
TIME...MOT...LOC 2300Z 222DEG 33KT 4354 9401

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

CTG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
615 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

MNZ069-070-075>077-083-240015-
Dakota MN-Scott MN-Rice MN-Nicollet MN-Le Sueur MN-Blue Earth MN-
615 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN BLUE EARTH...
NORTHWESTERN RICE...SOUTHEASTERN NICOLLET...SOUTHWESTERN DAKOTA...LE
SUEUR AND SOUTHERN SCOTT COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM CDT...

At 615 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
North Mankato, or 6 miles northwest of Mankato, moving northeast at
45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Skyline, North Mankato, Mankato, Oshawa, St. Peter, Kasota, Ottawa,
  Cleveland, Le Sueur, Le Center, Montgomery, Belle Plaine, New
  Prague, Jordan, Helena, Lonsdale, Webster and Elko New Market.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

&&

LAT...LON 4423 9421 4443 9400 4447 9391 4452 9389
      4454 9391 4455 9389 4460 9389 4463 9384
      4464 9376 4468 9369 4453 9317 4410 9403
TIME...MOT...LOC 2315Z 229DEG 37KT 4422 9406

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

CTG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
643 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

WIZ016-240000-
Rusk WI-
643 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN RUSK COUNTY UNTIL 7
PM CDT...

At 643 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Ladysmith, moving north at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Ladysmith, Tony, Conrath, Glen Flora, Ingram and Rusk County
  Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

&&

LAT...LON 4538 9083 4539 9117 4564 9119 4564 9072
TIME...MOT...LOC 2343Z 198DEG 40KT 4548 9103

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

BPH