Alert archive / Florida / Wind Advisories in 2026
Wind Advisory 4, NWS Melbourne, FL
NWS Melbourne, FL issued this wind advisory at Jan 30, 2026, 11:47 AM EST for 10 counties in Florida. It took effect at Jan 31, 2026, 3:00 PM EST. It was in force for 16 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 30, 2026, 11:47 AM EST (16:47 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 31, 2026, 3:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 1, 2026, 7:00 AM EST
- In force
- 16 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Melbourne, FL
Counties Brevard County, FL, Indian River County, FL, Lake County, FL, Martin County, FL, Okeechobee County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Saint Lucie County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Volusia County, FL
The radar
The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Cape Canaveral, FL (KXMR), launched 12:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 61 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 35 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -28 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1221 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 75 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 160 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 267 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
414 WWUS72 KMLB 301647 NPWMLB URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Melbourne FL 1147 AM EST Fri Jan 30 2026 FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259-264-347-447- 547-647-747-011800- /O.UPG.KMLB.EC.A.0001.260201T0000Z-260201T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KMLB.EC.W.0001.260201T0000Z-260201T1800Z/ /O.UPG.KMLB.FZ.A.0006.260201T0000Z-260201T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KMLB.FZ.W.0006.260201T0000Z-260201T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KMLB.WI.Y.0004.260131T2000Z-260201T1200Z/ Inland Volusia-Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Osceola-Okeechobee- Coastal Volusia-Southern Lake-Coastal Indian River-Coastal Saint Lucie-Coastal Martin-Inland Northern Brevard-Inland Indian River- Inland Saint Lucie-Inland Martin-Mainland Northern Brevard- Northern Brevard Barrier Islands-Inland Southern Brevard-Mainland Southern Brevard-Southern Brevard Barrier Islands- Including the cities of Maitland, Port Saint John, Saint Lucie West, Palm Bay west of I 95, Debary, Fort Drum, Playalinda Beach, Winter Springs, Cocoa Beach, Eustis, Ormond Beach, Deltona, Groveland, Hobe Sound, Titusville, Leesburg, Union Park, Fort Pierce, Vero Beach, Deland, Winter Park, New Smyrna Beach, Indiantown, Viera West, Apopka, Jensen Beach, Rockledge, Saint Cloud, Mascotte, Satellite Beach, Melbourne Beach, Okeechobee, Stuart, Basinger, Tavares, Fellsmere, Sanford, Clermont, Merritt Island Wildlife Refuge, Mims, Port Saint Lucie, Oviedo, Tradition, Mount Dora, Cocoa, Daytona Beach, Sebastian, Canaveral Groves, Melbourne, Casselberry, Orlando, Celebration, Kissimmee, and Altamonte Springs 1147 AM EST Fri Jan 30 2026 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM SATURDAY TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY... ...EXTREME COLD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...For the Wind Advisory, northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 40 to 50 mph expected. For the Extreme Cold Warning, dangerously cold wind chills as low as 8 above expected. For the Freeze Warning, hard freezing temperatures as low as 22 expected. * WHERE...Brevard, Volusia, Orange, Lake, Seminole, Osceola, Okeechobee, Indian River, St Lucie, and Martin Counties. * WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, from 3 PM Saturday to 7 AM EST Sunday. For the Extreme Cold Warning and Freeze Warning, from 7 PM Saturday to 1 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. Hard freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. Dress in layers including a hat, face mask, and gloves if you must go outside. To prevent water pipes from freezing; wrap or drain or allow them to drip slowly. Keep pets indoors as much as possible. Make frequent checks on older family, friends, and neighbors. Ensure portable heaters are used correctly. Do not use generators or grills inside. If you do not have heat in your home or lack shelter, you can call 211 or visit your local county website for assistance locating appropriate shelter from the cold. Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. && $$ Watson
3 follow-up statements
966 WWUS72 KMLB 310854 NPWMLB URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Melbourne FL 354 AM EST Sat Jan 31 2026 FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259-264-347-447- 547-647-747-011800- /O.CON.KMLB.EC.W.0001.260201T0000Z-260201T1800Z/ /O.CON.KMLB.FZ.W.0006.260201T0000Z-260201T1800Z/ /O.CON.KMLB.WI.Y.0004.260131T2000Z-260201T1200Z/ Inland Volusia-Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Osceola-Okeechobee- Coastal Volusia-Southern Lake-Coastal Indian River-Coastal Saint Lucie-Coastal Martin-Inland Northern Brevard-Inland Indian River- Inland Saint Lucie-Inland Martin-Mainland Northern Brevard- Northern Brevard Barrier Islands-Inland Southern Brevard-Mainland Southern Brevard-Southern Brevard Barrier Islands- Including the cities of Eustis, Deland, Celebration, Mount Dora, Deltona, Mascotte, Saint Lucie West, Sanford, Stuart, Canaveral Groves, Mims, Fellsmere, Union Park, Saint Cloud, Apopka, Playalinda Beach, Sebastian, New Smyrna Beach, Jensen Beach, Ormond Beach, Casselberry, Maitland, Clermont, Titusville, Oviedo, Altamonte Springs, Tavares, Tradition, Indiantown, Rockledge, Daytona Beach, Viera West, Groveland, Port Saint John, Palm Bay west of I 95, Melbourne, Winter Springs, Cocoa Beach, Leesburg, Hobe Sound, Cocoa, Fort Pierce, Okeechobee, Merritt Island Wildlife Refuge, Winter Park, Satellite Beach, Basinger, Kissimmee, Melbourne Beach, Fort Drum, Vero Beach, Orlando, Debary, and Port Saint Lucie 354 AM EST Sat Jan 31 2026 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY... ...EXTREME COLD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...For the Wind Advisory, northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 40 to 50 mph expected. For the Extreme Cold Warning, dangerously cold wind chills 9 to 15 degrees expected. For the Freeze Warning, hard freezing temperatures as low as 22 expected. * WHERE...All counties in east central Florida, including Volusia, Lake, Seminole, Orange, Brevard, Osceola, Indian River, Okeechobee, Saint Lucie, and Martin. * WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, from 3 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Sunday. For the Extreme Cold Warning and Freeze Warning, from 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. Hard freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. Dress in layers including a hat, face mask, and gloves if you must go outside. To prevent water pipes from freezing; wrap or drain or allow them to drip slowly. Keep pets indoors as much as possible. Make frequent checks on older family, friends, and neighbors. Ensure portable heaters are used correctly. Do not use generators or grills inside. If you do not have heat in your home or lack shelter, you can call 211 or visit your local county website for assistance locating appropriate shelter from the cold. Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. && $$ Haley
504 WWUS72 KMLB 311730 NPWMLB URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Melbourne FL 1230 PM EST Sat Jan 31 2026 FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259-264-347-447- 547-647-747-011600- /O.NEW.KMLB.EC.W.0002.260202T0000Z-260202T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KMLB.FZ.W.0007.260202T0000Z-260202T1500Z/ /O.EXT.KMLB.EC.W.0001.260201T0000Z-260201T1500Z/ /O.EXT.KMLB.FZ.W.0006.260201T0000Z-260201T1600Z/ /O.CON.KMLB.WI.Y.0004.260131T2000Z-260201T1200Z/ Inland Volusia-Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Osceola-Okeechobee- Coastal Volusia-Southern Lake-Coastal Indian River-Coastal Saint Lucie-Coastal Martin-Inland Northern Brevard-Inland Indian River- Inland Saint Lucie-Inland Martin-Mainland Northern Brevard- Northern Brevard Barrier Islands-Inland Southern Brevard-Mainland Southern Brevard-Southern Brevard Barrier Islands- Including the cities of Melbourne, Melbourne Beach, Altamonte Springs, Canaveral Groves, Leesburg, Winter Springs, Jensen Beach, Indiantown, Fort Drum, Eustis, Union Park, Okeechobee, Celebration, Orlando, Clermont, New Smyrna Beach, Sebastian, Kissimmee, Tradition, Casselberry, Titusville, Basinger, Mims, Cocoa Beach, Palm Bay west of I 95, Deltona, Debary, Tavares, Deland, Hobe Sound, Saint Lucie West, Merritt Island Wildlife Refuge, Apopka, Satellite Beach, Fellsmere, Cocoa, Mascotte, Playalinda Beach, Groveland, Daytona Beach, Oviedo, Mount Dora, Sanford, Ormond Beach, Maitland, Port Saint John, Vero Beach, Port Saint Lucie, Winter Park, Fort Pierce, Rockledge, Stuart, Viera West, and Saint Cloud 1230 PM EST Sat Jan 31 2026 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY... ...EXTREME COLD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY... ...FREEZE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... ...EXTREME COLD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SUNDAY TO 10 AM EST MONDAY... ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SUNDAY TO 10 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...For the Wind Advisory, northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 40 to 50 mph expected. For the first Extreme Cold Warning, dangerously cold wind chills 9 to 15 degrees expected. For the first Freeze Warning, hard freezing temperatures as low as 22 expected. For the second Extreme Cold Warning, dangerously cold wind chills 17 to 20 degrees expected. For the second Freeze Warning, hard freezing temperatures as low as 25 expected. * WHERE...All counties in east central Florida, including Volusia, Lake, Seminole, Orange, Brevard, Osceola, Indian River, Okeechobee, Saint Lucie, and Martin. * WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, until 7 AM EST Sunday. For the first Extreme Cold Warning, from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Sunday. For the first Freeze Warning, from 7 PM this evening to 11 AM EST Sunday. For the second Extreme Cold Warning and second Freeze Warning, from 7 PM Sunday to 10 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. Dress in layers including a hat, face mask, and gloves if you must go outside. To prevent water pipes from freezing; wrap or drain or allow them to drip slowly. Keep pets indoors as much as possible. Make frequent checks on older family, friends, and neighbors. Ensure portable heaters are used correctly. Do not use generators or grills inside. If you do not have heat in your home or lack shelter, you can call 211 or visit your local county website for assistance locating appropriate shelter from the cold. Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. Bring pets and potted plants indoors. Check on elderly neighbors to make sure their furnace is working. To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes, they can be wrapped, drained or allowed to drip slowly. Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. && $$ Watson
021 WWUS72 KMLB 010717 NPWMLB URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Melbourne FL 217 AM EST Sun Feb 1 2026 FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259-264-347-447- 547-647-747-011615- /O.CON.KMLB.EC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260201T1500Z/ /O.CON.KMLB.FZ.W.0006.000000T0000Z-260201T1600Z/ /O.CON.KMLB.EC.W.0002.260202T0000Z-260202T1500Z/ /O.CON.KMLB.FZ.W.0007.260202T0000Z-260202T1500Z/ /O.CON.KMLB.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-260201T1200Z/ Inland Volusia-Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Osceola-Okeechobee- Coastal Volusia-Southern Lake-Coastal Indian River-Coastal Saint Lucie-Coastal Martin-Inland Northern Brevard-Inland Indian River- Inland Saint Lucie-Inland Martin-Mainland Northern Brevard- Northern Brevard Barrier Islands-Inland Southern Brevard-Mainland Southern Brevard-Southern Brevard Barrier Islands- Including the cities of Eustis, Basinger, Clermont, Cocoa, Oviedo, Titusville, Altamonte Springs, Debary, Winter Springs, Tradition, Port Saint Lucie, Fort Drum, Fellsmere, Palm Bay west of I 95, Viera West, Leesburg, Rockledge, Okeechobee, Satellite Beach, Jensen Beach, Vero Beach, Casselberry, Melbourne, Sanford, Mascotte, Indiantown, Playalinda Beach, Sebastian, Melbourne Beach, Celebration, Port Saint John, Merritt Island Wildlife Refuge, Saint Cloud, Fort Pierce, Deltona, Deland, Apopka, Winter Park, Mount Dora, Saint Lucie West, Maitland, New Smyrna Beach, Stuart, Daytona Beach, Hobe Sound, Union Park, Tavares, Mims, Orlando, Cocoa Beach, Ormond Beach, Canaveral Groves, Groveland, and Kissimmee 217 AM EST Sun Feb 1 2026 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...EXTREME COLD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...EXTREME COLD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST MONDAY... ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...For the Wind Advisory, northwest winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. For the first Extreme Cold Warning through this morning, dangerously cold wind chills as low as 9 to 15 degrees. For the first Freeze Warning through this morning, hard freezing temperatures as low as 22 to 27 degrees. For the second Extreme Cold Warning tonight, dangerously cold wind chills as low as 14 to 20 degrees expected. For the second Freeze Warning tonight, hard freezing temperatures as low as 22 to 27 degrees expected. * WHERE...All counties in east central Florida, including Volusia, Lake, Seminole, Orange, Brevard, Osceola, Indian River, Okeechobee, Saint Lucie, and Martin. * WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, until 7 AM EST this morning. For the first Extreme Cold Warning, until 10 AM EST this morning. For the first Freeze Warning, until 11 AM EST this morning. For the second Extreme Cold Warning and second Freeze Warning, from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. Dangerously cold wind chills could lead to frostbite and hypothermia, even with limited exposure. Hard freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation, and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. Dress in layers including a hat, face mask, and gloves if you must go outside. To prevent water pipes from freezing; wrap or drain or allow them to drip slowly. Keep pets indoors as much as possible. Make frequent checks on older family, friends, and neighbors. Ensure portable heaters are used correctly. Do not use generators or grills inside. If you do not have heat in your home or lack shelter, you can call 211 or visit your local county website for assistance locating appropriate shelter from the cold. Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. Bring pets and potted plants indoors. Check on elderly neighbors to make sure their furnace is working. To prevent freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes, they can be wrapped, drained or allowed to drip slowly. Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. && $$ Weitlich
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jan 30, 6:35 AM EST, 5 hours 12 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Issued at 226 AM EST Fri Jan 30 2026
- East Central Florida residents and visitors should take advantage of today's pleasant weather to prepare for multiple nights of hard freezes this weekend.
- Very windy conditions develop Saturday with strong frequent wind gusts 35 to 45 mph; occasional gusts over 50 mph possible. Preparations for the cold should be made before these winds arrive.
- A Freeze Watch and a rare Extreme Cold Watch have been issued for all of east central Florida Saturday night into Sunday. Dangerous wind chill values as low as 7 degrees and a hard freeze likely with low temperatures in the 20s Sunday morning. Additional watches/warnings for the following nights are likely.
- A Gale Watch has been issued for rapidly deteriorating and dangerous boating conditions Saturday afternoon and night as winds increase and seas build; strong gale-force gusts are likely.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 30, 6:35 AM EST, 5 hours 12 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
635 AM EST Fri Jan 30 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 226 AM EST Fri Jan 30 2026
- East Central Florida residents and visitors should take
advantage of today's pleasant weather to prepare for multiple
nights of hard freezes this weekend.
- Very windy conditions develop Saturday with strong frequent wind
gusts 35 to 45 mph; occasional gusts over 50 mph possible.
Preparations for the cold should be made before these winds
arrive.
- A Freeze Watch and a rare Extreme Cold Watch have been issued
for all of east central Florida Saturday night into Sunday.
Dangerous wind chill values as low as 7 degrees and a hard
freeze likely with low temperatures in the 20s Sunday morning.
Additional watches/warnings for the following nights are likely.
- A Gale Watch has been issued for rapidly deteriorating and
dangerous boating conditions Saturday afternoon and night as
winds increase and seas build; strong gale-force gusts are
likely.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 226 AM EST Fri Jan 30 2026
Today-Tonight...Today will be only "warm" day (near normal
temperatures) until mid-next week, and a prime opportunity to
prepare for the coming strong winds and arctic air outbreak this
weekend. Weak high pressure over the area retreats offshore ahead
of a low pressure system developing over and tracking across the
Southeast. East- southerly winds over the Atlantic waters near The
Bahamas will lift some moisture up towards Southeast Florida,
which could support a few showers across our southern counties
(rain chances 20% or less). Over land, mostly light and variable
winds shift westerly at 5-10 mph in the afternoon. This should
gradually usher off the aforementioned showers. CAMs are oddly
enthusiastic about some shower chances across the rest of the area
later in the afternoon, but the environment generally doesn't
support anything better than a silent 10% chance. More appreciable
rain chances (such as they are at 20%) forecast late tonight into
Saturday morning well ahead of the coming cold front.
Saturday..Significant winds and historic cold are expected this
weekend. A sharp upper level trough diving down into the southeast
will support substantial development of the previously mentioned
low pressure system, which will rapidly deepen Saturday as the
center pushes offshore the GA-SC-NC coasts and into the nearby
Atlantic waters. The cold front associated with this system is
forecast to pass quickly across the Florida peninsula through the
day Saturday, preceded by a second round of isolated to scattered
showers in the morning (if the overnight activity can be counted
as a first round) as PWATs briefly increase to around 1" ahead of
the boundary. Anyone hoping for rain for their lawns will need to
wait for another front, as most spots will receive less than
0.10", though the southern counties might see up to around a
quarter of an inch. Lightning storms are not forecast. Cloudy
skies will accompany the front, but clear out shortly after the
passage as very dry air arrives.
As the low rapidly deepens offshore the pressure gradient will
quickly tighten, increasing west-northwesterly winds Saturday
afternoon and evening to 20-30 mph with frequent gusts 35-45 mph,
and there is a 20-30% chance for gusts to exceed 50 mph. Worth
noting there are some timing discrepancies between the GFS and
ECM, with the GFS being about 6 hours slower than the ECM. At the
moment winds are forecast to "settle" to 15-20 mph with gusts to
30 mph inland during the overnight, but will need to monitor
forecast trends as there is potential for higher gusts in
particular to linger on.
Strong cold air advection on the western side of the low will
bring a slug of arctic air to Florida, causing temperatures
Saturday to only reach the M50s-M60s around 2 PM before plummeting
to L40s-L50s by sunset, with sub-freezing temperatures arriving
in the northern counties prior to midnight. A hard freeze is
forecast for all of East Central Florida for much of Saturday
night and Sunday morning as temperatures continue to crash into
the L-M20s across the interior, including all of the Orlando Metro
Area, and the M-U20s along the coastal corridor. Forecast lows
are 5-10 degrees below daily records for most locations (Orlando
is forecast to be "only" 3 degrees below their record), and
threatening the coldest temperatures for the month of February for
all but Orlando. Combined with the strong and gusty northwest
winds, wind chills be be bitterly cold during the day, and become
dangerous in the evening and overnight as values drop into the 20s
shortly after sunset, bottoming out in the single digits and
teens late Saturday night into Sunday morning. An Extreme Cold
Watch and a Freeze Watch remain in effect for all of East Central
Florida from Saturday Night through midday Sunday. For context,
last issuance of this product (called a Wind Chill Warning at the
time) by NWS Melbourne was January of 2014, and only for Lake and
Volusia counties. The last time all of East Central Florida was
included in this warning was December of 2010.
People and pets with inadequate shelter or heat will face a risk
of frostbite and hypothermia. Exposed pipes may freeze, and some
non-native plants and trees will succumb to the elements if not
properly protected. The risk to non-cold-hardy plants and palms is
much higher due to the wind-driven cold that is expected. On that
note, it will become increasingly difficult to secure any loose
outdoor items or prepare vegetation for the anticipated hard
freeze Saturday night due to the strong and gusty winds expected
during the day. Thus, we encourage residents (and visitors) to
make preparations for the cold weather before winds arrive, and
prepare for multiple nights of dangerous cold!
Sunday...Winds won't diminish until later in the afternoon as
the low starts to depart northeast, and breezy/gusty conditions
are expected through the day. Combined with temperatures that will
struggle to reach the M40s-L50s, wind chills will remain in the
20s-30s most of the day, only topping out in the U30s-M40s at the
"warmest" part of the afternoon. Afternoon highs are forecast to
range from a couple to nearly 10 degrees below daily record "cool
highs". Very dry conditions will keep skies clear with plenty of
sunshine, but sensitive to critical fire weather conditions may
develop as a result of the low humidity and winds.
A second very cold night is forecast Sunday night into Monday
morning, as temperatures once again sink into another hard freeze
in the L-M20s for nearly all of East Central Florida (some
southern barrier islands might fall short). While northwesterly
winds are forecast to have further settled to 5-10 mph, this will
still push wind chills down into the teens across most of the
area. These dangerously cold temperatures will once again pose a
significant risk of frostbite and hypothermia to people and pets,
cause exposed pipes to freeze, and damage or kill non-cold-hardy
plants.
Monday-Thursday...Cooler than normal and dry conditions will
continue through mid next week. High pressure that had worked its
way into the Gulf by Monday morning in the wake of the low
pressure system shifts over Florida on Tuesday, then pushes
offshore midweek ahead of our next weather system. There remains a
threat for a third night of freezing temperatures Monday night
into Tuesday morning for at least portions of East Central
Florida, and while winds will continue to diminish, wind chills
dropping into the 20s are possible for most of the area that night
as well. Freezing temperatures should be in the rear-view mirror
by Tuesday night/Wednesday morning, but frost will become a
concern. Wednesday will be our closest to normal day, before our
next front is forecast for the latter half of next week. There are
considerable differences between the global models' evolution of
this system, but the next system won't have the same potency as
the one we're currently preparing for. Some modest rain chances
return ahead of the front, then cooler than normal but far from
record cold late next week.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 226 AM EST Fri Jan 30 2026
Today...Generally favorable boating conditions before conditions
deteriorate and become dangerous this weekend. Weak high pressure
over Florida and the local Atlantic waters pushes offshore ahead
of a low pressure system developing over and tracking across the
Southeast. Light northerly winds will become variable at times
through the morning, becoming to westerly to northwesterly 5-15
kts in the late morning to early afternoon. Seas 2-4 ft. Isolated
showers will be possible across the southern and offshore waters.
Tonight-Sunday...Dangerous boating conditions through much of the
weekend, and mariners should remain in port. The aforementioned
low pressure system will rapdily deepen as it pushes offshore the
GA-SC-NC coast Saturday, with the attendant cold front passing
through Florida and the local Atlantic waters Saturday.
Northwesterly winds increasing to 15-20 kts tonight ahead of the
front further increase to 20-30 kts late Saturday morning behind
the front, then surge to 30-40 kts Saturday night. Gusts will
frequently reach high-end Gale strength, and occasional gusts to
Storm-force cannot be ruled out Saturday night. The generally
offshore winds will flatten seas near the coast some, but are
still expected to build to 4-8 ft nearshore and 6-8 ft Saturday
evening, reaching 6-10 ft nearshore and up to 16 ft in the Gulf
Stream late Saturday night into early Sunday morning, with
occasionally higher seas. As the low lifts northeast Sunday winds
will start to decrease, but remain 25-35 kts with higher gusts
through much of the day Seas subside some but remain up to 8 ft in
the nearshore waters and over 10 ft offshore.
Isolated to scattered showers will precede the front late tonight
into early early Saturday morning, but lightning storms aren't
forecast. There is potential for flurries over portions of the
local Atlantic waters Saturday night.
A Gale Watch has been issued for all Central Florida Atlantic
waters Saturday Afternoon through Sunday Afternoon, and Small
Craft Advisories will likely be needed for all segments the rest
of Sunday, and portions of the local waters through at least
Monday.
Monday-Tuesday...High pressure builds towards Florida as the low
departs, but poor to hazardous boating conditions will linger into
Tuesday, especially larger seas in the Gulf Stream.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFs)
Issued at 635 AM EST Fri Jan 30 2026
VFR conditions generally forecast today into tonight. An increase
in clouds across the Treasure Coast are producing BKN cigs around
6-7kft currently this morning with some passing SCT/BKN cirrus at
or above 20kft. Diurnal cu, producing additional VFR cigs around
4-5kft will be possible into the late morning/afternoon. Low
pressure moving through the southeast U.S. will drag a cold front
through the FL Panhandle and eastern Gulf through tonight. Winds
will respond by becoming W/SW and increasing to 7-10 knots in the
afternoon. Winds then diminish past sunset to 5 knots or less. It
will be mostly dry, but may see a few light showers along the
southern Treasure Coast, near KSUA, into the afternoon. Have
therefore maintained VCSH at this site from 16-24Z.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 226 AM EST Fri Jan 30 2026
Strong and gusty winds 35-45 mph, possibly over 50 mph Saturday
afternoon will lead to containment issues of any fires. Sensitive
to critical fire weather conditions are possible Sunday as
humidity drops below 35% while northwesterly winds remain around
15 mph with higher gusts. Winds decrease to 10 mph or less Monday,
but fire weather conditions remain sensitive due to humidity
values less than 30%.
&&
.CLIMATE...
Issued at 635 AM EST Fri Jan 30 2026
Sunday, February 1st:
RECORD NORMAL RECORD NORMAL
DATE LOWS LOWS COOL-HIGHS HIGHS
Daytona Beach (DAB) 1-Feb 30 1936 49 47 1980 70
Leesburg (LEE) 1-Feb 30 1979 50 52 1978 71
Sanford (SFB) 1-Feb 30 1965 51 46 1977 72
Orlando (MCO) 1-Feb 28 1936 51 48 1936 73
Melbourne (MLB) 1-Feb 32 1966 52 55 1948 72
Vero Beach (VRB) 1-Feb 29 1966 53 56 1966 74
Fort Pierce (FPR) 1-Feb 32 1909 52 54 1936 74
Monday, February 2nd:
RECORD NORMAL RECORD NORMAL
DATE LOWS LOWS COOL-HIGHS HIGHS
Daytona Beach (DAB) 2-Feb 32 1980 50 51 1980 70
Leesburg (LEE) 2-Feb 29 1980 50 48 1980 71
Sanford (SFB) 2-Feb 33 1980 51 49 1980 72
Orlando (MCO) 2-Feb 32 1980 51 54 1951 73
Melbourne (MLB) 2-Feb 33 1980 52 55 1994 73
Vero Beach (VRB) 2-Feb 34 1980 53 55 1980 74
Fort Pierce (FPR) 2-Feb 34 1980 52 57 1994 74
All Time February Records:
RECORD RECORD
LOWS COOL-HIGHS
Daytona Beach (DAB) 24 02/18/1958 43 02/09/1947
Leesburg (LEE) 23 02/26/1967 42 02/05/1996
Sanford (SFB) 25 02/18/1958 38 02/03/1951
Orlando (MCO) 19 02/07/1895 39 02/08/1895
Melbourne (MLB) 27 02/26/1967 43 02/09/1947
Vero Beach (VRB) 28 02/24/1989 46 02/09/1947
Fort Pierce (FPR) 25 02/05/1996 43 02/04/1917
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB 69 46 57 22 / 0 20 20 10
MCO 71 49 58 24 / 0 20 20 0
MLB 72 48 63 22 / 10 30 30 10
VRB 72 48 63 24 / 10 30 40 0
LEE 69 46 54 22 / 0 20 20 0
SFB 70 47 57 23 / 0 20 20 0
ORL 70 49 57 24 / 0 20 20 0
FPR 72 47 63 24 / 10 30 40 0
&&
.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Extreme Cold Watch from Saturday evening through Sunday
afternoon for FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-164-
247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747.
Freeze Watch from Saturday evening through Sunday afternoon for
FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259-264-
347-447-547-647-747.
AM...Gale Watch from Saturday afternoon through Sunday afternoon for
AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575.
&&
DISCUSSION...Haley
AVIATION...WeitlichThe office that day
Everything else NWS Melbourne, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 11:47 AM EST | Extreme Cold Warning | MLB | Brevard, Indian River, Lake, Martin, Okeechobee, Orange and 4 more | 46 hr |
| Jan 30, 11:47 AM EST | Freeze Warning | MLB | Brevard, Indian River, Lake, Martin, Okeechobee, Orange and 4 more | 47 hr |
| Jan 30, 11:52 AM EST | Gale Warning | MLB | 49 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.