Severe Thunderstorm Warning 252, NWS Goodland, KS

648 
WWUS53 KGLD 240201
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
901 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

KSC109-240215-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0252.000000T0000Z-260724T0215Z/
Logan KS-
901 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN LOGAN COUNTY...

At 901 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Winona, or 22
miles south of Brewster, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...An automated weather station 9 miles northeast of Wallace 
         reported a gust of 63 mph at 857 PM CDT.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  Winona around 905 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3904 10148 3913 10148 3914 10133 3913 10109
      3896 10097 3886 10127
TIME...MOT...LOC 0201Z 231DEG 26KT 3905 10129 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Rhoades/CA

780 
WWUS53 KGLD 240213
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
913 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

KSC109-240222-
/O.EXP.KGLD.SV.W.0252.000000T0000Z-260724T0215Z/
Logan KS-
913 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN LOGAN COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 915 PM CDT...

The Severe Thunderstorm Warning that was previously in effect has 
been reissued for Logan County. Please refer to that bulletin for 
the latest severe weather information.

Remember, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning still remains in effect for 
Logan County. 

&&

LAT...LON 3904 10148 3913 10148 3914 10133 3913 10109
      3896 10097 3886 10127
TIME...MOT...LOC 0212Z 231DEG 26KT 3909 10122 

$$

Rhoades/CA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
342 PM MDT Thu Jul 23 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A few severe storms are possible this aft-eve, mainly south
  of I-70 between 4-9 PM MDT. Wind gusts up to 70 mph and 1 inch
  diameter hail are the main threats. Locally heavy rainfall
  and nuisance flooding are also possible.

- A prolonged period of hot weather is expected this weekend
  and early next week. High temperatures and heat index values
  are forecast to reach or exceed 100F on Sat-Sun-Mon. Extended
  periods of heat drastically increase the risk of heat related
  illnesses.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 120 PM MDT Thu Jul 23 2026

Today-Tonight: Synoptically similar to yesterday, albeit with
modestly stronger W to WNW flow aloft on the eastern fringe of
an amplifying ridge over the 4-Corners and northern Rockies.
Late evening/early morning convection and lingering stratus have
significantly affected the airmass in place over the Tri-State
Area. At 18Z, temperatures were in the lower 70's across the
majority of the Goodland CWA. Meanwhile, in far southwest KS,
where sunshine has been unimpeded, temperatures have already
reached 100F. Expect highs ranging from the lower-mid 80's in
northeast portions of the area.. where overcast stratus persists
early this afternoon.. to lower 90's in far southern portions
of the area (Greeley and Wichita counties).

Convection (South): Surface observations and visible satellite
imagery indicate a pronounced TMB (thermal/moisture boundary)
over southeast CO and southwest KS, extending eastward from
Trinidad to Springfield and Ulysses then northeastward from
Ulysses to Garden City and Ness City. This feature appears to be
the primary focus for convective development, and this is where
thunderstorm coverage and severe weather potential will be
greatest. Convection initiating to the south could progress
northward into southern portions of the Goodland CWA via several
routes: via a WSW-SW mean wind, SW left-mover motion (if
anticyclonic supercells are present) or if northward-moving
outflow initiates additional development.

Convection (West): Separately, diurnal convection developing
along portions of the Cheyenne Ridge, Colorado Front Range and
Palmer Divide could progress E or SE into eastern CO late this
afternoon and evening, though.. said activity would encounter a
less favorable /increasingly hostile/ thermodynamic environment
with eastern extent, especially in northwest KS where persistent
cloud cover has significantly mitigated diurnal
destabilization.

Simulated reflectivity forecasts via current and recent runs of
the HRRR are consistent with the above thinking, indicating that
thunderstorm coverage and severe weather potential in the
Goodland CWA will largely be tied to convective development
along the TMB to the south.. and that scattered diurnal
convection emanating from higher terrain to the west will tend
to weaken/dissipate with eastern extent toward the CO-KS border.

Fri-Fri night: Guidance indicates that the amplifying ridge
over the 4-Corners will expand eastward across the Rockies and
Central/Southern Plains. Expect dry conditions, light winds and
a warming trend, with highs in the mid 90's.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 223 PM MDT Thu Jul 23 2026

An upper level ridge of high pressure will remain anchored over
the Central and Southern Plains this weekend, which will keep
hot, mid summer conditions in place across the Tri-State Area.
As we move into next workweek, weather models show the ridge of
high pressure gradually flattening and shifting westward toward
the Four Corners Region. This retrogression will shift our local
upper level wind pattern to the west/northwest, allowing for
periodic disturbances to slide along the edge of the ridge and
across the High Plains.

Several hot days are in store for the region starting Saturday.
Forecast confidence is very high with 25th to 75th percentile
max temperatures with only a 3-4 degree spread, with Saturday
high temperatures ranging from the upper 90s to low 100s, and
Sunday-Monday ranging from the low to mid 100s for the entire
area. Areas along and east of US Highway 83 could approach Heat
Advisory thresholds, with heat index values topping out around
Sunday and Monday. As the ridge retreats westward Tuesday and
Wednesday, temperatures will gradually ease with model variance
becoming wider (highs ranging from the low to mid 90s).

A steady tap of moisture wrapping around the upper level high
pressure system will keep atmospheric moisture levels unusually
high across the region between the 75th and 99th percentile
(well above normal) for late July. Saturday into Sunday will be
mainly diurnally driven with storms initiating off the higher
terrain of the Front Range/Palmer Divide during the afternoon,
then drive eastward. Confidence is low that storms will actually
make it over to extreme eastern CO counties. Chances for
precipitation increase and spread further east as northwest flow
aloft sharpens and some instability in the upper flow occurs
(shortwave troughs moving through). With high atmospheric
moisture, and a lack of mid level wind support leading to likely
slow storm movement, heavy rain and perhaps some local minor
flooding could occur under persistent / repeating storm cores.
Otherwise, severe weather is not anticipated at this time.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 340 PM MDT Thu Jul 23 2026

GLD: While a thunderstorm cannot be ruled out late this aft-
eve (~00-04Z), observational trends suggest that thunderstorms
should be confined south and east of the Goodland terminal. With
this in mind, thunderstorms are not explicitly mentioned in the
00Z TAF issuance. There is a modest signal that MVFR-IFR
ceilings may develop over/near the Goodland terminal between
midnight and sunrise. Low ceilings, if present, would lift and
scatter to VFR by late morning. Otherwise, VFR conditions will
prevail. Light (5-10 knot) southeasterly or variable winds will
prevail through the 00Z TAF period.

MCK: Borderline VFR/MVFR ceilings (3000-4000 ft AGL) are
expected to lift and scatter late this afternoon. While a
thunderstorm cannot be ruled out late this aft-eve (~01-05Z),
recent observational trends suggest that thunderstorms should be
confined well south of the McCook terminal. With this in mind,
thunderstorms are not explicitly mentioned in the 00Z TAF
issuance. There is a strong signal that IFR to LIFR ceilings
will develop overnight (~06-08Z) and persist through sunrise.
Low ceilings will lift and scatter to VFR by late morning
(15-18Z Fri). Expect SE or variable winds at 5-10 knots through
the TAF period.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
CO...None.
NE...None.

&&

SHORT TERM...Vincent
LONG TERM...Kochasic
AVIATION...Vincent

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
318 PM MDT Thu Jul 23 2026

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-242130-
Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne CO-Cheyenne KS-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-
Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-
Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
318 PM MDT Thu Jul 23 2026 /418 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

A brief severe storm is possible late this afternoon and early this
evening, mainly south of I-70 in Kansas between 4 PM and 9 PM MDT.
Wind gusts up to 70 mph and dime to quarter size hail are the main
threats. Locally heavy rainfall and nuisance flooding are also
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

A prolonged period of hot weather is expected this weekend and early
next week. High temperatures and heat index values are forecast to
reach or exceed 100 degrees on Saturday, Sunday and Monday. Low
temperatures in the 60's and 70's may provide little relief during
the overnight and early morning hours. Extended periods of heat
drastically increase the risk of heat related illnesses.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions.

Vincent