High Wind Warning 3, NWS Grand Forks, ND

716 
WWUS73 KFGF 152246
NPWFGF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
546 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

NDZ006-007-015-026-054-160200-
/O.CON.KFGF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260516T0200Z/
/O.CON.KFGF.DU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-260516T0200Z/
Towner-Cavalier-Ramsey-Nelson-Western Walsh-
Including the cities of Devils Lake, Lankin, Langdon, Michigan,
and Cando
546 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...BLOWING DUST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS 
EVENING...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, west winds 30 to 40 mph with 
  localized and sporadic gusts up to 60 mph under rain showers. For 
  the Blowing Dust Advisory, visibility between one-quarter and one 
  mile in blowing dust.

* WHERE...Cavalier, Nelson, Ramsey, Towner, and Western Walsh 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM CDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions due to reduced visibility 
  from blowing dust and dirt. Tree limbs could be blown down and a 
  few power outages may result. Travel will be difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Very gusty winds under rain showers may 
  create locally heavy blowing dust or dirt, creating near zero 
  visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be ready for a sudden drop in visibility to near zero in open 
country from blowing dust or dirt.

If you encounter heavy blowing dust or dirt on the roadway, be 
prepared for sudden drop in visibility, possibly to near zero. If 
you find yourself unable to drive out near zero visibility, pull off 
the road as far as possible and put your vehicle in park until 
visibility improves. Turn the lights all the way off and keep foot 
off the brake pedal. Remember, 'Pull Aside, Stay Alive'.

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution. 

Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

Persons with respiratory problems should make preparations to stay 
indoors until the storm passes.

&&

$$

NDZ014-160200-
/O.CON.KFGF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260516T0200Z/
Benson-
Including the cities of Leeds
546 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, west winds 30 to 40 mph with 
  localized and sporadic gusts up to 60 mph under rain showers.

* WHERE...Benson County.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM CDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages 
  may result. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile 
  vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Very gusty winds under rain showers may 
  create locally heavy blowing dust or dirt, creating near zero 
  visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution if you must 
drive.

Be ready for a sudden drop in visibility to near zero in open 
country from localized blowing dust or dirt.

&&

$$

MNZ001-004-005-007-008-013-014-NDZ008-016-027-160200-
/O.CON.KFGF.DU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-260516T0200Z/
/O.CON.KFGF.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-260516T0200Z/
West Polk-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall-Pennington-
Red Lake-Pembina-Eastern Walsh-Grand Forks-
Including the cities of Roseau, Thief River Falls, Middle River,
Hallock, Crookston, Newfolden, Cavalier, Grafton, Warren, Grand
Forks, Drayton, East Grand Forks, and Red Lake Falls
546 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

...BLOWING DUST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS 
EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Blowing Dust Advisory, visibility between 
  one-quarter and one mile in blowing dust. For the Wind Advisory, 
  west winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...In Minnesota, East Marshall, Kittson, Pennington, Red 
  Lake, Roseau, West Marshall, and West Polk Counties. In North 
  Dakota, Eastern Walsh, Grand Forks, and Pembina Counties.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM CDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Hazardous driving conditions due to reduced visibility. 
  Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could 
  be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with respiratory problems should make preparations to stay 
indoors until the storm passes. Be ready for a sudden drop in 
visibility to near zero in open country. 

If you encounter heavy blowing dust or dirt on the roadway, be 
prepared for sudden drop in visibility, possibly to near zero. If 
you find yourself unable to drive out near zero visibility, pull off 
the road as far as possible and put your vehicle in park until 
visibility improves. Turn the lights all the way off and keep foot 
off the brake pedal. Remember, 'Pull Aside, Stay Alive'.

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

MNZ002-003-015-022-027-NDZ024-028>030-038-039-160200-
/O.CON.KFGF.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-260516T0200Z/
Norman-Clay-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-Eddy-Griggs-Steele-
Traill-Barnes-Cass-
Including the cities of Cooperstown, Fargo, Halstad, Detroit
Lakes, Mahnomen, Finley, Hillsboro, Valley City, New Rockford,
Ada, Fosston, Mayville, and Moorhead
546 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Minnesota and 
  northeast and southeast North Dakota.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM CDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

CJ

940 
WWUS73 KFGF 160146
NPWFGF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
846 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

NDZ006-007-015-026-054-160300-
/O.EXP.KFGF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260516T0200Z/
/O.EXP.KFGF.DU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-260516T0200Z/
Towner-Cavalier-Ramsey-Nelson-Western Walsh-
Including the cities of Devils Lake, Lankin, Langdon, Michigan,
and Cando
846 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...BLOWING DUST ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

Gusty winds creating impactful blowing dust and associated wind 
impacts are lessening. Thus, the threat has ended.

$$

NDZ014-160300-
/O.EXP.KFGF.HW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-260516T0200Z/
Benson-
Including the cities of Leeds
846 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

Gusty winds associated wind impacts are lessening. Thus, the threat 
has ended.

$$

MNZ001-004-005-007-008-013-014-NDZ008-016-027-160300-
/O.EXP.KFGF.DU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-260516T0200Z/
/O.EXP.KFGF.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-260516T0200Z/
West Polk-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall-Pennington-
Red Lake-Pembina-Eastern Walsh-Grand Forks-
Including the cities of Roseau, Thief River Falls, Middle River,
Hallock, Crookston, Newfolden, Cavalier, Grafton, Warren, Grand
Forks, Drayton, East Grand Forks, and Red Lake Falls
846 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

...BLOWING DUST ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

Gusty winds creating impactful blowing dust and associated wind 
impacts are lessening. Thus, the threat has ended.

$$

MNZ002-003-015-022-027-NDZ024-028>030-038-039-160300-
/O.EXP.KFGF.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-260516T0200Z/
Norman-Clay-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-Eddy-Griggs-Steele-
Traill-Barnes-Cass-
Including the cities of Cooperstown, Fargo, Halstad, Detroit
Lakes, Mahnomen, Finley, Hillsboro, Valley City, New Rockford,
Ada, Fosston, Mayville, and Moorhead
846 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

Gusty winds and associated wind impacts are lessening. Thus, the 
threat has ended.

$$

CJ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
121 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Strong westerly winds gusting up to 45 to 50 mph will continue
  today mainly near the Canadian border, bringing the potential
  for blowing dust impacts again this afternoon.

- Dry conditions along with the winds will bring critical fire
  weather conditions. A Red Flag Warning is in effect for all
  counties through late this evening.

- On Sunday and continuing into Monday, widespread rain showers
  and isolated thunderstorms will move into the region. Most
  areas will receive at least half an inch of rain, with a 50
  percent chance for some locations to see over an inch of
  rainfall.

- There is a 2 out of 5 risk for a few elevated thunderstorms
  bringing a threat for one inch hail Sunday afternoon.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 121 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

...Synopsis...

Upper low continues to rotate over central Manitoba, and will pull
eastward into Ontario tonight. The tight pressure gradient over
our northern CWA will continue into this afternoon, and model
soundings have some spots mixing all the way up to 650mb with
gusts close to 50 kts out of the question. So far the blowing dust
has been low impact, but will continue to monitor with the potential
for higher gusts remaining through the afternoon. As the low pulls
east tonight, the pressure gradient across our northern counties
will relax this evening. Some cold air advection late tonight into
tomorrow as a front drops down. The upper flow quickly shifts to the
southwest Saturday night, with a lead shortwave coming through on
Sunday. The southwesterly flow and another shortwave pushing up into
the region Monday, then the upper trough axis shifts to the east of
us by Tuesday. Low heights with the trough could bring
some fairly cool temps for Tuesday, and may have to
watch for near freezing readings Tuesday night. Northwesterly
flow aloft sets up for mid to late next week, but a couple of week
shortwaves moving through could bring some periodic light
precipitation chances along with temperatures warming back up to
near seasonal averages for Friday.

...Wind and blowing dust potential...

Highest winds so far have been along our northern tier, although a
few higher gusts above 40 mph have started popping up along the
Highway 2 corridor. So far the worst of the blowing dust signal on
satellite has been staying up in Canada, but will have to watch
closely as we get a bit more mixing this afternoon. HREF
probabilities of gusts over 50 mph are still around 40 percent in
parts of our northern tier. For now, the wind advisory continues to
seem on track and will watch for any blowing dust bringing
visibility down below 2 miles.

...Red Flag into the evening and other fire concerns...

With winds continuing to gust up to 45 or 50 mph in the north, and
even outside the wind advisory area some sustained speeds around
around 20 to 25 mph, which is plenty of wind when the RH is 20
percent or lower. Red flag conditions should continue through this
afternoon and into the early evening before the RHs start to recover
and winds slowly come down. Conditions will still be dry into
tomorrow and a few spots in our southern counties could get below 25
percent for RH, staying around 35 percent in the north. Winds will
fortunately be a lot less, with sustained speeds staying in the
teens and any gusts around 20 mph. Relief for fire weather concerns
should come Sunday as precipitation starts to move into the region.

...Widespread rain Sunday and Monday...

With southwesterly flow aloft and a shortwave trough coming out,
most of of the models bring in rain starting late Saturday night and
continuing into Sunday. Another shortwave coming out Monday will
bring additional rainfall, although the track is a bit further south
than the first wave. Highest rainfall amounts look to be in the
south where there is a 50 percent chance for over an inch of liquid
in those two days. However, even up near the Canadian border the
probabilities for at least a half an inch are pretty high, so
widespread wetting rain seems likely.

...Severe chances Sunday afternoon...

There is a level 2 out of 5 risk for some severe storms to develop
Sunday afternoon for portions of southeastern ND and west central
MN. Much will depend on how the morning rainfall plays out, and if
we can get the warm front to push far enough north to get into our
southern counties. Still, quite a few of the ensemble members have
some elevated instability around 1500 J/kg, even though the average
surface based CAPE is only around 200 J/kg. Can't rule out some
elevated storms that could produce some quarter sized hail, so will
monitor how things evolve closely on Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1226 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

Some BLDU at KGFK has dropped visibility into the MVFR to IFR
range, but other TAF sites have remained VFR. Some of less
sheltered airports, all but KBJI, could see some BLDU later
today, but will keep it 6 miles and above until it actually
develops. Winds will slowly start to decrease this evening, with
gusts dropping below 30 kts around sunset. Winds will drop even
further during the overnight hours to below 12 kts, but will
pick up again out of the northwest late morning tomorrow with
some gusts above 20 kts.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM CDT this evening for NDZ006>008-
     014>016-024-026>030-038-039-049-052>054.
     Wind Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for NDZ006>008-
     014>016-024-026>030-038-039-054.
MN...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM CDT this evening for MNZ001>009-
     013>017-022>024-027>032-040.
     Wind Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for MNZ001>005-007-
     008-013>015-022-027.

&&

DISCUSSION...JR
AVIATION...Lynch

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
437 AM CDT Fri May 15 2026

MNZ001-004-005-007-008-013-014-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-054-
160945-
West Polk-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall-Pennington-
Red Lake-Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Eddy-
Nelson-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Western Walsh-
437 AM CDT Fri May 15 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North
Dakota and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong westerly winds will continue today over much of the
region, bringing the potential for blowing dust impacts again
through much of the afternoon.

Dry conditions along with the winds will bring critical fire
weather conditions. A Red Flag Warning is in effect for all
counties through late this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today.

MNZ006-009-160945-
Lake Of The Woods-North Beltrami-
437 AM CDT Fri May 15 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northwest
Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong westerly winds will continue today over much of the
region, bringing the potential for blowing dust impacts again
through much of the afternoon.

Dry conditions along with the winds will bring critical fire
weather conditions. A Red Flag Warning is in effect for all
counties through late this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Isolated strong thunderstorms are possible Sunday afternoon and
evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today.

MNZ016-017-023-024-028>032-040-NDZ049-052-053-160945-
North Clearwater-South Beltrami-South Clearwater-Hubbard-
East Becker-Wilkin-West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-
Ransom-Sargent-Richland-
437 AM CDT Fri May 15 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North
Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong westerly winds will continue today over much of the
region, bringing the potential for blowing dust impacts again
through much of the afternoon.

Dry conditions along with the winds will bring critical fire
weather conditions. A Red Flag Warning is in effect for all
counties through late this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

There is a level 2 out of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms across
parts of southeast North Dakota and west central Minnesota Sunday
afternoon and evening. All hazards are possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today.

MNZ002-003-015-022-027-NDZ038-039-160945-
Norman-Clay-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-Barnes-Cass-
437 AM CDT Fri May 15 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North
Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong westerly winds will continue today over much of the
region, bringing the potential for blowing dust impacts again
through much of the afternoon.

Dry conditions along with the winds will bring critical fire
weather conditions. A Red Flag Warning is in effect for all
counties through late this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

There is a level 1 out of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms across
parts of southeast North Dakota and west central Minnesota Sunday
afternoon and evening. All hazards are possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today.