Tornado Warning 2, NWS Twin Cities, MN

284 
WWUS53 KMPX 282126
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
426 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025

MNC145-171-282136-
/O.CAN.KMPX.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-250428T2145Z/
Stearns MN-Wright MN-
426 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025

...TORNADO WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR SOUTHEASTERN STEARNS AND NORTH 
CENTRAL WRIGHT COUNTIES...

The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area. 
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT Monday for a 
portion of central Minnesota.

&&

LAT...LON 4567 9390 4558 9376 4556 9376 4556 9373
      4551 9366 4539 9397 4540 9399 4539 9401
      4540 9401 4542 9405 4543 9405 4543 9406
      4544 9407 4544 9408 4545 9408 4545 9410
      4547 9410 4549 9414 4550 9414
TIME...MOT...LOC 2114Z 230DEG 38KT 4540 9412

$$


MNC009-141-282145-
/O.CON.KMPX.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-250428T2145Z/
Benton MN-Sherburne MN-
426 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025

...TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT FOR 
SOUTHEASTERN BENTON AND NORTHWESTERN SHERBURNE COUNTIES...

At 426 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado 
was located over Clear Lake, or 11 miles southeast of St. Cloud, 
moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
         Damage to roofs, windows and vehicles will occur. Tree
         damage is likely.

Locations impacted include...
  St. Cloud, Becker, Foley, Clearwater, Clear Lake, Santiago, 
  Glendorado, Duelm and St Cloud Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a well-built 
building away from windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, 
or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect 
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 4567 9390 4558 9376 4556 9376 4556 9373
      4551 9366 4539 9397 4540 9399 4539 9401
      4540 9401 4542 9405 4543 9405 4543 9406
      4544 9407 4544 9408 4545 9408 4545 9410
      4547 9410 4549 9414 4550 9414
TIME...MOT...LOC 2114Z 231DEG 39KT 4539 9410

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN

$$

BPH

331 
WWUS53 KMPX 282137
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
437 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025

MNC009-141-282145-
/O.CON.KMPX.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-250428T2145Z/
Benton MN-Sherburne MN-
437 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025

...TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT FOR 
SOUTHEASTERN BENTON AND NORTH CENTRAL SHERBURNE COUNTIES...

At 437 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado 
was located 9 miles north of Becker, or 18 miles east of St. Cloud, 
moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
         Damage to roofs, windows and vehicles will occur. Tree
         damage is likely.

Locations impacted include...
  Santiago and Glendorado.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a well-built 
building away from windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, 
or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect 
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 4556 9393 4565 9386 4558 9376 4556 9376
      4556 9373 4551 9366 4545 9387 4546 9395
      4550 9398
TIME...MOT...LOC 2126Z 233DEG 38KT 4545 9395

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN

$$

BPH

266 
WWUS53 KMPX 282144
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
444 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025

MNC009-141-282154-
/O.EXP.KMPX.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-250428T2145Z/
Benton MN-Sherburne MN-
444 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025

...TORNADO WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 445 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN BENTON 
AND NORTH CENTRAL SHERBURNE COUNTIES...

The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area. 
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT Monday for a 
portion of central Minnesota.

&&

LAT...LON 4556 9393 4565 9386 4558 9376 4556 9376
      4556 9373 4551 9366 4545 9387 4546 9395
      4550 9398
TIME...MOT...LOC 2137Z 234DEG 38KT 4552 9381

$$

BPH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
154 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Tornado Watch in SW MN likely to be expanded eastwards as threat
progresses eastwards this afternoon and evening. All hazards
possible with large hail, strong winds, and potential longer track
tornadoes possible.

- Quiet weather after Monday with cooler temperatures through
  the weekend, warming above normal next week.

- Little to no chance for rainfall through next weekend.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 115 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025

An area of horizontal convective roll clouds are present on
satellite imagery across SW MN. Some agitated CU have blossomed
further west along a pre-frontal trough. These have quickly
developed into thunderstorms across far eastern South Dakota &
southwest Minnesota. These storms have prompted a Tornado Watch
across portions of SW/W/WC Minnesota. Additional watches may be
required downstream (east).

The storms across E SD/SW MN will continue to intensify over the
next few hours with a few becoming severe capable of producing
damaging winds/large hail/tornadoes. The atmospheric recovery with
in the pre-frontal trough contains surface instability values of
1500 to 2500+ J/kg and favorable effective shear (40+ kts). Surface
temperatures are in the low to mid 70s with sfc Tds in the mid to
upper 60s. There is weak capping ahead of the pre-frontal trough
that may erode by mid afternoon & support additional convective
initiation. Hi-res guidance has remained inconsistent with what
exactly evolves this afternoon. Current forecast thoughts suggest
we'll see a line of embedded supercells form and track from W MN to
S MN over the next several hours. These storms will be in the "best"
environment capable of supporting all severe hazards, including
potential for a strong tornadoes. These storms may cycle and
continue to produce severe as they track ENE. Central Minnesota and
western Wisconsin remain in play. Additional convection should
develop closer to the sfc low pressure with a isolated to scattered
strong to severe storms too. These storms should be capable of
producing damaging wind, large hail, and a tornado or two as well
but the better environment for tornadoes is across S MN/N IA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 153 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025

Please see Update section above for more details about ongoing
severe weather, including potential for further severe weather this
afternoon and evening...

Tuesday through this weekend...

Wrap around showers are expected on the western side of the tilting
upper level trough early on Tuesday as the storms will have pushed
east of the region and over the Great Lakes overnight. Winds behind
the surface front out of the northwest will bring in some cooler air
which looks to linger over the next few days as high pressure keeps
the airmass stagnant until later in the week, at which point we
quickly turn things around with warmer temperatures into the weekend
and beyond. As the upper level trough migrates eastwards, our 500-
300mb flows will flatten out and become zonal with the left entrance
of the upper level jet streak migrating towards east-central
Wisconsin, aiding subsidence alongside surface high pressure. We
could see some isolated drizzle or weak showers on Thursday as a
broad upper level trough swings through central Canada, with subtle
height falls along the far southern fringe providing just enough
omega to squeeze out some droplets. Given subsidence the few days
before, PWAT values will be low and we will have surface level dry
air to overcome such that anything more than a few hundredths would
be an achievement given the meager forcing. Dry conditions resume on
Friday with a western CONUS ridge building through the weekend with
weak southerly flow at the surface advecting some warmer air towards
the area and upper level flow become northwesterly on the eastern
side of the ridge. The southerly surface winds and ridge will lock
in some warmer temperatures as we head into next week, with
ensembles favoring temperatures reaching into the 80s early next
week and not looking to stop through the first week of May.

In terms of rainfall and active weather, bigger systems remain
absent with longer range ensemble membership showing quite a bit of
variance into next week with roughly 30 to 40 percent of members
within the GEFS showing a chance for some stronger rainfall and
perhaps some storms by the middle of next week. Given the time
range, this is fairly close to climatology such that there should
not be too much stock placed within this for now as we will need to
get within the 7 day time range to truly build some confidence in
our next major system.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 115 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025

MVFR/IFR SHRA/TSRA this afternoon and evening from west to east
across all sites. OVC ceilings will become BKN/SCT near RWF and is
anticipated to trend eastward over the next few hours. However, TSRA
has already developed west of AXN and RWF to which will impact all
sites over the next several hours. Have tightened up a few
tempo groupings slightly based off of current reflectivity. Most
sites can expect TSRA to clear after 03z although wrap around
-SHRA is possible through 12z tomorrow morning. Southerly winds
will increase this afternoon with gusts between 25-35kts. Sites
can expect a southwesterly veer in winds by 22-02z during
frontal passage then becoming lighter out of the northwest
tomorrow afternoon.

KMSP...A line of convection has developed near the MN/SD border.
Continuing to monitor forward progress but may need to push current
tempo timing up sooner.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
TUE...MVFR/-SHRA possible prior to 12z. Wind NW 10-20 kts.
WED...VFR, chc MVFR/-SHRA late. Wind SSE 10-15 kts.
THU...MVFR, chc -SHRA. Wind NW 10-20 kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

UPDATE...BPH
DISCUSSION...TDH
AVIATION...Dunleavy

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
223 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
291930-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
223 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota, and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Numerous severe thunderstorms are likely this afternoon and early
evening. There is a Moderate Risk of severe thunderstorms (level
4 of 5) across much of the area. Very large hail, damaging winds,
and tornadoes are likely. A few strong tornadoes are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation will likely be needed.