Special Weather Statement, NWS Twin Cities, MN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
615 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- There is a 30-40 percent chance for showers and thunderstorms
  across southeastern MN into western WI today.

- Wildfire smoke moves back in tonight and Monday.

- Potentially active again late week and next weekend as a
  frontal boundary gets hung up in the region.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 343 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

Areas of fog have developed across southern MN and western WI
with visibilities in some cases dropping to 1/4 mile. With clear
skies and light or calm winds in place, the fog should become
more widespread through dawn. However, any one location probably
won't see enough continuous dense fog to justify a Dense Fog
Advisory attm.

Later today an upper low will lift north and heights will rise
slightly. A shortwave will be steered northeast to the Upper
Midwest while instability builds across southeastern MN and WI.
A few thunderstorms could develop late morning through mid
afternoon, with a much greater concentration to the southeast
where more heavy rainfall is expected.

Smoke will begin to make a return across western MN tonight,
then should engulf the rest of the area Monday and Monday night.
Poor air quality will result and the Air Quality Advisory
continues for MN through noon Tuesday.

A potent shortwave trough will largely remain in southern
Canada, but a trough axis will swing across the Upper Midwest
Monday night and early Tuesday. A few showers or thunderstorms
may accompany this wave, primarily central MN, with better
chances to the north.

Ridging will build back over the Rockies mid to late week. Some
thunderstorms are possible along a warm front late week, then
again along a slow moving trailing cold front this weekend.
Confidence is naturally low at this range, as are the PoPs for
now.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 615 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

Areas of dense fog will improve quickly this morning as mid and
high level clouds increase. Showers with some TS are expected to
advance into southern MN and western WI later this morning,
lingering into early afternoon. Otherwise, clearing this evening
with patchy fog potentially redeveloping late.

KMSP...Showers should remain east today, but there is an outside
chance of seeing something around midday.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
MON...VFR. Wind SW 5-10kts.
TUE...VFR. Wind NW 5-10kts.
WED...VFR. Wind S 5-10kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...Borghoff
AVIATION...Borghoff

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
245 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

MNZ041>045-047>062-064>069-073>076-082-110745-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Yellow Medicine-
Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-
Le Sueur-Watonwan-
245 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Minnesota...east central Minnesota...south central Minnesota...
southwest Minnesota and west central Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Poor air quality due to Canadian wildfire smoke is expected
to move back in tonight. An Air Quality Alert is in effect for
Minnesota.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Poor air quality will continue through Monday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation will not be needed.

MNZ063-070-077-078-083>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-110745-
Washington-Dakota-Rice-Goodhue-Blue Earth-Waseca-Steele-Martin-
Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-
Chippewa-Eau Claire-
245 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Minnesota...south central Minnesota...southeast Minnesota...
northwest Wisconsin and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Patchy dense fog is expected early this morning.

There is a chance for showers and thunderstorms today. Severe
weather is not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Poor air quality due to Canadian wildfire smoke is expected
to move back in Monday. An Air Quality Alert is in effect for
Minnesota.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation will not be needed.

Borghoff

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1107 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

WIC017-035-101800-
Chippewa-Eau Claire-
1107 AM CDT Sun Aug 10 2025

...URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING EXPECTED...

Heavy rain will cause minor flooding in the following counties...

Chippewa...Eau Claire...

* Until 100 PM CDT.

* At 1105 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain, with rainfall
  rates as high as 2 inches per hour over Eau Claire and Chippewa
  Falls that may result urban and small stream flooding within the
  Eau Claire metro area.

* Some locations that will experience minor flooding include...
  Eau Claire, Chippewa Falls, Altoona, Lake Hallie, Lake Wissota,
  Bateman, and Seymour.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses as
well as other drainage areas and low lying spots.

&&

LAT...LON 4466 9156 4479 9166 4484 9165 4504 9134
      4490 9121